Morgan State Bears vs Bowling Green Falcons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/7/24
Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Falcons? Tip off is at at 2:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH. The over/under for this game is set at 151.5 points, and Bowling Green is favored by -9.5 against Morgan State in a non-conference matchup.
MORGAN STATE BEARS VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Morgan State Bears +9.5
This game will be played at Stroh Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, December 7th.
WHY BET THE MORGAN STATE BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Falcons.
- Even though we have Bowling Green winning straight-up, we like Morgan State at +9.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Will the Bears Make it Happen on the Road?
Morgan State Bears Recent Game/Games
Morgan State fell to 1-6 on the season after a 92-69 road loss to UMBC on Wednesday. The Bears entered the game as +7.5 underdogs and failed to cover the spread.
After trailing 37-26 at halftime, Morgan State allowed 55 points in the 2nd half while scoring 43 of their own. The game’s total points of 161 narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 160.
Morgan State struggled from beyond the arc in their last game, hitting just 1 of 9 attempts for 11.1% shooting. Their overall field goal percentage was 42.4%, with an identical effective field goal percentage. They shot 47.4% on two-point attempts, going 27 for 57.
At the free-throw line, the Bears made 12 of 22 attempts, shooting 54.5%. They grabbed 13 offensive rebounds and dished out just 5 assists. Amahrie Simpkins and Wynston Tabbs led the team with 16 points each, with Simpkins also pulling down 11 rebounds.
Despite Morgan State’s defensive efforts, they allowed 92 points in their previous game, with their opponents shooting 48% from the field. The Bears gave up 29 made field goals on 60 attempts.
From beyond the arc, Morgan State’s defense struggled, allowing 14 threes on 26 attempts, a 53% shooting rate. They also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 29 times, where they converted 20 free throws.
Can the Bowling Green Offense Score Enough at Home?
Bowling Green Falcons Recent Game/Games
Bowling Green improved to 2-5 on the season after a narrow 61-60 win over New Mexico State on Saturday. The Falcons, who were +4.5 point underdogs going into the game, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.
Bowling Green led 26-23 at halftime and scored 35 points in the 2nd half while allowing 37. The game’s total points of 121 fell well below the O/U line of 144.
In their last game, Bowling Green’s offense struggled, shooting just 28.8% from the field and 23.8% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 34.6%, but they did hit 86.7% of their free throws, going 26-for-30 from the line.
Marcus Johnson led the way with 23 points, shooting 53.8% overall and 40% from three. Jaden Harris added 18 points, hitting 4-of-5 threes and shooting 55.6% overall. Derrick Butler contributed 15 points, but shot just 26.7%, while Javontae Campbell struggled, making only 1 of 9 shots.
Bowling Green’s defense was stellar, holding their opponent to just 60 points on 28% shooting from the field. They limited two-point opportunities, with the other team making only 10 of 31 attempts for 32%.
From beyond the arc, Bowling Green’s defense was effective, allowing just 5 three-pointers on 21 attempts, a 23% success rate. They also sent their opponent to the line 30 times, where they shot 86%.