Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Betting Pick & Prediction 11/11/24

The Canadiens and Sabres are set to face off at 12:30 ET on ESPN+. The Sabres will host the game at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY. The over/under for this Atlantic division contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Sabres being favored by -1.5 at home against the Canadiens.

MONTREAL CANADIENS VS BUFFALO SABRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Buffalo Sabres -1.5

This game will be played at KeyBank Center at 12:30 ET on Monday, November 11th.

WHY BET THE BUFFALO SABRES:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Canadiens.
• We like the Canadiens on the moneyline (+169)
• The Canadiens are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Do the Canadiens Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Montreal fell to 4-9-2 after a 3-1 road loss to the Penguins. The Canadiens entered the game as underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined 4 goals fell short of that mark.

Trailing 2-0, Montreal’s only goal came at 14:28 in the third period, when Christian Dvorak scored to cut the deficit in half. However, the Penguins sealed the game with an empty-net goal at 19:15 in the third.

Montreal’s offense struggled in their 3-1 loss to Pittsburgh, managing just one goal. Christian Dvorak found the net for the first time this season, scoring 5:32 into the third period. The Canadiens took 26 shots on goal but were held scoreless until Dvorak’s goal.

Montreal recorded 20 giveaways and failed to capitalize on any power play opportunities. Emil Heineman, with his first assist of the season, and Juraj Slafkovsky, who now has 7 assists, were credited with assists on Dvorak’s goal.

Montreal’s defense gave up the first two goals in their recent game against Pittsburgh, one at 15:57 in the first period and another at 18:40 in the second. After cutting the deficit to 2-1, the Canadiens allowed an empty-net goal with just 45 seconds left in the third. Sam Montembeault made 21 saves with a 91.3% save percentage.

Can the Sabres Live Up to the Hype at Home?

After a 2-1 loss to the Red Wings, the Sabres now sit at 7-7-1. Buffalo led early with a short-handed goal by Alex Tuch, but Detroit responded with two power-play goals in the second period.

The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. Buffalo, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover.

Buffalo’s offense was held to a single goal in their 2-1 loss to Detroit. Alex Tuch netted his 5th of the season, scoring on a shorthanded opportunity 8:21 into the first period. The Sabres fired 32 shots on goal but were unable to find the back of the net again.

Buffalo had 13 giveaways and didn’t register any assists in the game. Tuch led the team with 5 shots on goal.

Buffalo’s defense will look to bounce back after giving up two goals in the second period, both on the power play, in their previous game against the Red Wings. Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen finished with 21 saves and a 91.3% save percentage, while the Sabres’ defense added 5 takeaways and 17 hits.