Missouri State Bears vs Indiana State Sycamores Betting Pick & Prediction 1/16/24
Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bears and Sycamores. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Sycamores at Hulman Center in Terre Haute, IN. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have the Sycamores as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 151.5 points.
MISSOURI STATE BEARS VS INDIANA STATE SYCAMORES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Missouri State Bears +12.5
This game will be played at Hulman Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.
WHY BET THE MISSOURI STATE BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Sycamores.
- Even though we have Indiana State winning straight-up, we like Missouri State at +12.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Will the Bears Come Through as Road Underdogs?
Missouri State will be looking to get back to .500 in conference play as they come into this game with a 2-4 record in Missouri Valley action. Overall, the Bears are 10-7 this season, including an 8-3 non-conference record.
So far, Missouri State has been much better at home compared to on the road. At home, they are 7-2 compared to just 2-5 on the road. The Bears are also coming off a win against Evansville, which improved their road record to 2-1 in their last three games.
As the underdog this season, Missouri State has gone 3-4-1 against the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-4-1 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have a 4-4-2 record vs. the spread.
Missouri State’s over/under record for the season is 7-9, and the average scoring total in their games is 138.5. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (141.1). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line.
The Bears’ offense finished with 74 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 70.9 points per contest. The Missouri State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 24.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 31% of their looks from outside this season.
The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 97th nationally, allowing an average of 68.6 points per contest. The Missouri State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 64 points and allowed Evansville to connect on 12 threes.
Do the Sycamores Have What it Takes at Home?
Indiana State has been dominant at home this season, going 7-0 with an average scoring margin of +26.9 points per game. They are also a perfect 12-0 when favored, and they are favored again today, this time by 12.5 points.
The Sycamores are 14-3 overall, including a 5-1 record in Missouri Valley Conference games. They have won their last seven games, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +26.9 points per game.
As the favorite, Indiana State has an ATS record of 9-3 this season and they are 5-2 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sycamores are 7-3 vs. the spread.
Indiana State’s over/under record this season is 11-5 and the average scoring total in their games is 159.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (156.7). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.
Indiana State is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 94 points versus Belmont. This output is higher than their season-average of 86.4 points per game. In terms of offense, the Sycamores have a season-long field goal percentage of 51%, putting them 17th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 24th in percentage and 3rd in three-pointers made.
Currently, the Sycamores’ defense holds the 173rd rank in the nation, allowing 72.3 points per game. In their most recent game, the Indiana State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Belmont knocked down 16 three-pointers on their way to 64 points.