Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Commodores NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/7/25

The Bulldogs and Commodores are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPNU. The Commodores will host the game at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville, TN. In this Southeastern matchup, Mississippi State is favored bt -1.5 vs. Vanderbilt. The over/under for the game is 154.5 points.
MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS VS VANDERBILT COMMODORES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +1.5
This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, January 7th.
WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Commodores.
- Not only will Vanderbilt pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Can the Mississippi State Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Mississippi State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games
Mississippi State improved to 13-1 on the season with a dominant 85-50 win over South Carolina on Saturday. The Bulldogs, who were -10.5 favorites, covered the spread with ease. The total points for the game were 135, falling under the O/U line of 143.5.
Mississippi State took control early, leading 43-18 at halftime. They continued to play well in the second half, scoring 42 points while allowing 32.
Mississippi State put up 85 points in their last game, shooting 56.5% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 62.9%. They excelled inside, hitting 73% of their two-point attempts (27/37), while connecting on 32% from beyond the arc (8/25). At the free-throw line, they shot 77.8%, making 7 of 9 attempts.
The Bulldogs dished out 18 assists, with Josh Hubbard hitting 5 threes at a 50% rate, finishing with 21 points. Claudell Harris Jr. also shot 50% from deep, scoring 17 points and grabbing 9 rebounds. KeShawn Murphy contributed 12 points and 8 boards, shooting 75% from the field.
Mississippi State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 50 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 56% from the field. The Bulldogs had a tough time defending inside, as their opponents connected on 73% of their two-point attempts, going 27/37.
From beyond the arc, Mississippi State’s defense allowed 8 threes on 25 attempts, a 32% shooting performance. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 9 times, where they converted 7 of those attempts, shooting 77%.
Can Vanderbilt Deliver Being Underdogs at Home?
Vanderbilt improved to 13-1 on the season with an 80-72 road win over LSU on Saturday. The Commodores entered the game as -1.5 favorites and covered the spread with the victory.
Vanderbilt led 34-27 at halftime and scored 46 points in the 2nd half while allowing 45. The total points for the game were 152, falling short of the 159.5 O/U line.
Vanderbilt put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 43.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50%. They hit 52.6% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 30.8% of their threes (8/26). At the free-throw line, they shot 66.7%, making 16 of 24 attempts.
Cam Carter led the way with 22 points, hitting 4 threes on 11 attempts, while also shooting 47.1% overall. Jordan Sears and AJ Hoggard each added 17 points, with Hoggard dishing out 4 assists. The Commodores grabbed 17 offensive rebounds and finished with 11 assists as a team.
Vanderbilt’s defense gave up 72 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 50% from the field. They allowed 19 two-point baskets on 30 attempts, a 63% success rate.
From beyond the arc, the other team went 5/18, shooting 27%. Vanderbilt also sent them to the free-throw line 23 times, where they made 19 free throws, hitting 82%. The Commodores gave up 5 offensive rebounds.