Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/14/25

Looking to win big? The Bulldogs and Tigers face off at 7:00 ET on SECN. The Tigers are hosting the game at Neville Arena in Auburn, AL. This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 152 points, and Auburn is favored to win by -7.5 at home vs. Mississippi State.

MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS VS AUBURN TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5

This game will be played at Neville Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 14th.

WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-71 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Even though we have Auburn winning straight-up, we like Mississippi State at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 148 points.

Taking a Look at the Bulldogs Chances in Auburn

Mississippi State’s season record dropped to 14-2 after a 95-90 home loss to Kentucky on Saturday. The Bulldogs were favored by 5.5 points but couldn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points reached 185, surpassing the over/under line of 161.5.

Mississippi State trailed 49-44 at halftime and couldn’t make up ground in the second half, as both teams scored 46 points after the break.

Mississippi State’s offense put up 90 points in their latest game, shooting 45.1% from the field. They hit 64.5% of their two-point attempts, while their three-point shooting was just 30% on 12-of-40 from deep. Their effective field goal percentage stood at 53.5%, and they connected on 77.8% of their free throws, going 14-of-18 from the line.

Jaxson Robinson led the way with 27 points, shooting 9-of-12 overall and 7-of-10 from three-point range. Cameron Matthews added 19 points and 10 rebounds, hitting 2-of-3 from beyond the arc. Otega Oweh also contributed 15 points, shooting 6-of-9 from the field.

Mississippi State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 95 points while allowing the opposition to shoot 45% from the field. They were particularly vulnerable inside, where they allowed 64% shooting on two-point attempts.

From beyond the arc, Mississippi State’s opponents hit 12 of 40 three-point attempts, good for 30%. The Bulldogs also sent the other team to the free-throw line 18 times, where they converted 14 free throws for 77%. Mississippi State gave up 11 offensive rebounds.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Auburn?

Auburn improved to 15-1 on the season with a 66-63 win over South Carolina on Saturday. Despite being -16.5 favorites, the Tigers didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 129 fell short of the 145.5 O/U line.

Auburn trailed 40-34 at halftime but turned things around in the 2nd half, outscoring the Gamecocks 32-23 to secure the win.

In their last game, Auburn put up 66 points, shooting 45.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.6%. They connected on 8 of 21 three-point attempts, hitting 38.1% from deep, while shooting 50% on two-point attempts and from the free-throw line (6/12).

Collin Murray-Boyles led the way with 25 points and 7 rebounds, shooting 55.6% from the field. Miles Kelly added 14 points, hitting 4 of 8 from three-point range, and Tahaad Pettiford contributed 15 points, shooting 40% from beyond the arc.

Despite Auburn’s defensive efforts, they gave up 63 points while allowing the opponent to shoot 41% from the field, with 25 made baskets on 61 attempts. The Tigers’ defense allowed 21 two-point field goals on 45 attempts, a 46% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, Auburn held the opponent to 25% shooting, with just 4 made threes on 16 attempts. The opponent also went to the free-throw line 16 times, converting 9 of those for 56%. Auburn gave up 15 offensive rebounds in the game.