Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/20/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Twins and Padres face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the slight favorite on the money line (-105). The money line odds for a Twins win are sitting at -114, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Minnesota comes in with a record of 70-55 and are 3rd in the AL Central, while the Padres are 71-55 and are 2nd in the NL West. Martín Pérez will start for the Twins, while the Padres are starting Bailey Ober. Minnesota is looking to snap a two-game losing streak.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -105
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, August 20th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego picked up a 5-3 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a two-run lead after the first inning and added three more in the 3rd. As for the Twins, they scored their first run in the 4th and added two more in the 9th.
Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Jackson Merrill was the only Padres hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/4 with three RBIs. Christian Vazquez did the most damage for the Twins, going 2/4 with an RBI.
Twins Records & Stats
With an overall record of 70-55, the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins have dropped two straight games, and these losses came after winning three in a row. So far, they have been good against other AL Central teams, going 28-17 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Twins have gone 36-24 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 55-31 this year, and they are 15 games below .500 when listed as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-13-3, and they have won two straight series.
Minnesota is 35-30 on the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. The Twins’ average run differential on the road is +0.2 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 62-63 on the season. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game, while their average run differential in losses is -3.5 runs per game.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today to face the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Twins have gone over the total in 19 of their 33 games this season when the line has been set at 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Bailey Ober is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with a 3.49 ERA. Ober’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00, and opponents are batting .205 off him this year. In his 23 starts, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Ober’s last outing came against the Rangers, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Carlos Santana has been one of the Twins’ top power threats this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 18 homers. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .150 over his last six games. Ryan Jeffers and Willi Castro are the Twins’ top run producers, with Jeffers leading the team with 57 RBIs and Jeffers is just behind him at 55. Jeffers also has a team-high 19 homers, while Castro has 10.
As a team, the Twins are 8th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS.
Padres Records & Stats
With a record of 71-55, the Padres are three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Diego will take on the Twins at home today, and they have an overall division record of 20-20. The Padres took the first game of this series vs. the Twins and have an overall series record of 25-14-3.
At home, the Padres are 34-29 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 37-26. As the favorite, the Padres are 45-33 this year and 26-22 as the underdog. San Diego has won six straight games at home, and they are 6-8 as the home underdog this year. Looking at their overall mark, the Padres have gone 7-3 over their last ten.
San Diego has been a run line bettor’s dream on the road this season, going 41-22. The Padres are 25-38 vs. the run line at home, where their average run margin is exactly 0.0. They have been a run line underdog in 48 games this season, going 33-15 in those contests. Their average run margin in wins is 3.7, while it’s -3.5 in losses.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs is lower than the average line for San Diego games this season. The Padres have played 75 games with higher over/under lines and 11 games with lower lines. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 67-58 overall.
Left-hander Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Twins at home. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.62. In his last outing, Pérez picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in two of them. Pérez has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 7.46 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 17 home runs and is averaging 3.11 walks per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game, and have the top team batting average in the league. They also do a great job of putting the ball in play, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league. San Diego has been especially good at home this season, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are 13th in home runs and have the league’s best slugging percentage.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 19 apiece. Profar also leads the team with 73 RBIs, while Jake Cronenworth is right behind him at 73 RBIs and has gone deep 15 times. Jackson Merrill has gone 6/16 in his last four games and is currently on a four-game hitting streak.