Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24

Minnesota and Detroit are facing off in an AL Central matchup at 6:10 PM ET at Comerica Park in Detroit. The Tigers are the slight favorite on the money line (-119), while the Twins are +101. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.

Joe Ryan is starting for the Twins, and he will be facing off against Tarik Skubal for the Tigers. Minnesota is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, while the Tigers are 4th at 51-54.

DETROIT TIGERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline -119

This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:10 ET on Saturday, July 27th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS TIGERS:

• We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Tigers by a score of 9-3. The Twins offense only had four more hits than the Tigers and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -187 on the money line.

Detroit got on the board first with one run in the 3rd inning, but the Twins responded with two runs in the 4th and added three more in the 5th. As for the Tigers, they scored their final two runs in the 6th. Both teams went scoreless after that.

Pablo Lopez started for the Twins and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts and allowed just one home run. Keider Montero had a rough outing for the Tigers, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 57-45 overall this season, and they are 20-13 against other teams in the AL Central. Currently, they trail the Guardians by 4.5 games in the division. The Twins have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10.

At home, the Twins have gone 29-21 this year. On the road, they are one game above .500 at 28-24. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 45-26 this year, and they are 22-9 as the favorite on the road. In all, the Twins have gone 20-11-1 in series this year.

Minnesota is 29-23 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in three straight games. Their average run differential on the road is +0.5 runs per game, which is the same as their overall average run differential. They are 17-14 against the run line as an underdog this season.

The Twins are on the road in Detroit today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-48. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 4-4. In 91 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 89.2% of their games. They have gone over the total in their last two games.

Right-hander Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Ryan’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.01. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Ryan has allowed a total of 17 home runs this season. Looking at his numbers, he has a batting average allowed of .220 and is averaging 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Minnesota has been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, as they are 6th in runs per game (4.9) and are also 7th in home runs. As a team, the Twins are batting .253, which is the 5th best mark in the league. So far, they have been a very consistent team, as they are 6th in runs per game on the road and 8th in runs per game at home.

Carlos Correa comes into the game with the best batting average on the Twins at .308, and his 47 RBIs are the best mark on the team. He also has 13 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Ryan Jeffers, Carlos Santana, and Correa are all tied for the team lead in homers. Over his last six games, Byron Buxton has three homers but is just 5/22 in that stretch.

Tigers Records & Stats

Detroit is 51-54 overall and trails the Guardians by 12 games in the AL Central. So far, they are 18-16 against other teams in the division. The Tigers are at home today, where they are 24-25 this year. They have been a bit better on the road, going 27-29.

As the home underdog, the Tigers have gone 9-10 this year, and they are 22-20 as the favorite. Detroit’s overall series record is 14-14-4, and they are coming off a series win over the Orioles.

Despite a run differential of exactly zero, the Tigers have been a profitable team against the run line overall, going 53-52. They have been especially good against the run line on the road, going 33-23, while they have struggled at home, going just 20-29. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 41-22 against the run line, compared to just 12-30 as the favorite.

When the Detroit Tigers play at home, the over/under line is typically set higher than 7 runs. In fact, 88.6% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7-run total. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 57-45 overall.

Tarik Skubal has been pitching well for the Tigers this season and comes into the game with a record of 11-3 and an ERA of 2.34. Looking at his overall numbers, Skubal has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .198 off him this year. Skubal has made 15 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing, he finished with six strikeouts. Skubal has only allowed one homer in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.68 strikeouts. Skubal has been particularly tough at home, going 6-0 with a 1.89 ERA.

Riley Greene has been a bright spot for the Tigers offense this season, as he is batting .264 with a team-high 51 RBIs and 17 home runs, which is 14th in the league. Over his last seven games, Matt Vierling has gone 8/28 with one home run. For the season, Vierling is batting .251 and is 2nd on the team with 42 RBIs.

Heading into the game, the Tigers are 18th in runs scored at 4.3 runs per game. This is also where they are at in terms of home runs and batting average. Collectively, the team has been struggling at the plate, as they are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.