Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 6/26/24

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Twins and Diamondbacks is set to get started at 9:40 PM ET from Chase Field in Phoenix. The Twins are 43-36 this season, which has them in 2nd place in the AL Central, while the Diamondbacks are 39-40 and 3rd in the NL West.

Minnesota is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -119 compared to the Diamondbacks at +101. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and Simeon Woods Richardson is starting for the Twins, while Ryne Nelson goes for the Diamondbacks.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +101

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Wednesday, June 26th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Twins series. Arizona went into the matchup as +112 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Twins had a late rally, scoring three runs in the 7th and another run in the 8th, but Jorge Alcala took the loss. Kevin Ginkel got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks as Brandon Pfaadt went 6 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs.

Minnesota wasted a good outing from Joe Ryan, as he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. Ryan did finish the game with five strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. As for the Diamondbacks, Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll each had two hits and scored a run.

With the win, Arizona snapped a three-game losing streak. The Diamondbacks offense has been struggling of late, scoring two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. On the other side, the Twins have scored four or more runs in five of their last six.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 43-36 overall and trails the Guardians by nine games in the AL Central. The Twins are 15-11 against other teams in the division. At home, the Twins have gone 23-16 this year, and they are an even 20-20 on the road.

As the favorite, the Twins have put together a record of 34-20 this year. They are 9-16 when going into a game as the underdog. So far, they have been really good as the road favorite, going 15-7. Minnesota’s overall series record is 14-9-2, and they are currently down 0-1 in this series vs. the Diamondbacks.

Minnesota has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 20-20. Their overall run line record is 35-44, and they have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game this season. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 15-24 on the run line.

Minnesota Twins games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-40. The average over/under line for Twins games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 9, the over has hit in 5 of 7 games. Only 2.5% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs, and 88.6% of their games have had lower lines.

Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Through 12 starts, he has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 3.26. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs on six hits in six innings of work. Looking back further, he has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .225 off Woods Richardson this season.

Over the past 10 games, Willi Castro has been hot for the Twins, going 15/41 (.366) with one home run. Castro has also scored eight runs during this stretch. Castro has been a tough out all season, batting .271 with an OBP of .355. He is 3rd on the team in RBIs and has six homers this season.

Minnesota’s top home run hitter is Ryan Jeffers, who has gone deep 13 times this season, which is 12th in the league. Jeffers also leads the Twins with 41 RBIs. Jeffers is also on a six-game hitting streak coming into the game. Carlos Santana has also been a good power threat for the Twins, as he is 2nd on the team with 12 homers and is batting .244.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 39-40 overall, and they are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 10 games. The Diamondbacks are 15-12 against other teams in the NL West. Arizona is coming off a win over the Twins and have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 20-18 this season and 19-22 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 19-24 this year and 20-16 when favored. Their overall series record is 10-12-3 this season.

Arizona has been a solid play on the run line this season, going 38-41 overall. They have been especially strong on the road, going 21-20 ATS, compared to 17-21 at home. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in two straight games and are 24-19 ATS as an underdog this season.

Arizona has played 77 games this season, and 46 of them have had an over/under line set at less than 9 runs. The Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-39. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, Arizona has gone over the total in 6 games, under in 10 games, and pushed in 1 game. The Diamondbacks’ games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs this season.

Arizona is sending right-hander Ryne Nelson to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 5.18. Nelson’s WHIP for the season is 1.51, and opponents are batting .300 off him this year. In his 13 appearances, Nelson has turned in four quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Nelson went seven innings vs. the Nationals, giving up two earned runs and picking up the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 4.75 compared to 7.34 at home.

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, their team batting average of .251 is 8th in the MLB, and they are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage. The Diamondbacks have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Christian Walker and Ketel Marte.

Over his last four games, Ketel Marte has gone 4/16, which includes one home run and four RBIs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/17 in his last four games. Christian Walker is looking to get back on track, as he has gone just 4/20 in his last five games.