Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 2/24/25

At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (-691) will host the Timberwolves (+494) at Paycom Center. The over/under line for this Western Northwest division matchup is 226.5.
Oklahoma City (-12.5) has won two straight and is currently 1st in the Western Conference. Minnesota (+12.5) has lost two straight and is 7th in the West.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5
This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Monday, February 24th.
WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 138-84 in favor of the Thunder.
- Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 30 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.2% and knocking down 16 threes.
Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Minnesota?
The Timberwolves fell to 31-27 on the season after a 130-123 home loss to the Thunder on Sunday. Despite being +9 point underdogs, Minnesota kept it close, losing by just 7. The game’s total of 253 points went over the pre-game line of 227.5.
Oklahoma City’s 10-0 run early on gave them control, but Minnesota responded with a strong 2nd quarter, outscoring the Thunder 40-26. However, the Thunder regained momentum in the 3rd, winning the quarter 42-33. Both teams scored 27 points in the 4th, as the Timberwolves couldn’t close the gap.
In their 130-123 loss to the Thunder, the Timberwolves hit 18 threes, shooting 40% from deep, though their overall field goal percentage was just 43.8%. Anthony Edwards led the way with 29 points, 13 of which came in the 3rd quarter, despite shooting 38.1% from the field and 30.8% from three.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker added 18 points, hitting 4 threes at a 57.1% clip, with 13 of his points coming in the final quarter. Naz Reid contributed 22 points, scoring 12 in the 2nd quarter, though he shot just 33.3% from the field.
The Timberwolves struggled defensively against the Thunder, allowing 130 points on 55% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 3rd quarter, where they gave up 42 points, but they did manage to hold Oklahoma City to 27 points in the 4th.
Minnesota also had trouble defending the three, as the Thunder hit 19 threes at a 54% clip. The Timberwolves sent Oklahoma City to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws. Defensively, Minnesota recorded 6 steals and 5 blocks.
Can the Thunder Pull Off a Home Win?
Oklahoma City improved to 46-10 this season with a 130-123 win over the Timberwolves on Sunday. The Thunder were favored by 9 points but didn’t cover the spread, winning by 7. The game’s total score of 253 points exceeded the O/U line of 227.5 by 25.5 points.
A key 10-0 run helped the Thunder take control early, going from 19-15 to 25-19. However, the Timberwolves responded with a strong 2nd quarter, outscoring OKC 40-26. The Thunder bounced back in the 3rd, putting up 42 points to Minnesota’s 33, and both teams scored 27 points in the 4th.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a 130-123 win over the Timberwolves, finishing with 37 points, 8 assists, and 8 rebounds. He scored 16 points in the 3rd quarter and added 6 more in the 4th. Chet Holmgren added 19 points, with 10 coming in the 1st quarter, while Jalen Williams contributed 18 points, including 11 in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 4th.
Oklahoma City connected on 19 threes, shooting 54.3% from beyond the arc and 55.8% overall. Williams hit 3 threes at a 60% clip, while Holmgren also made 3, shooting 75% from deep. Gilgeous-Alexander added 3 triples, hitting 50% from long range.
Despite giving up 123 points, the Thunder’s defense held strong in the 1st and 4th quarters, allowing just 23 and 27 points, respectively, to secure the win. However, they struggled in the 2nd quarter, where they gave up 40 points. Overall, the Timberwolves shot 43% from the field.
Oklahoma City had trouble defending the three, as Minnesota hit 18 threes at a 40% clip. The Thunder also sent the Timberwolves to the line 28 times, where they made 27 free throws. Defensively, the Thunder recorded 9 steals and 8 blocks.