Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24

At 10:00 ET, the Timberwolves will take on the Nuggets in a Western Northwest division matchup. Minnesota enters the game with a 55-24 record and is currently on a two-game win streak. The Timberwolves are 1st in the Western Conference and 1st in the Northwest Division.

Denver is 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest Division. The Nuggets also have a 55-24 record and are currently on a two-game win streak as well. ESPN will have coverage of this game and the Nuggets are favored by 6 points.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +6

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.

WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-109 in favor of the Timberwolves.
• Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down 12 threes.

Will the Timberwolves Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

In Minnesota’s last game against the Wizards, the two teams combined for 251 points, easily surpassing the O/U line of 224. The Timberwolves won the game by a score of 130-121.

Minnesota is coming into today’s game as underdogs, and their O/U record for the season is 40-39. In 74 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than today’s line of 212.5.

For the season, Minnesota’s games have averaged a combined 219.4 points, compared to today’s line of 212.5. The team’s last two games have gone over the O/U line.

The Timberwolves are currently 1st in the Western Conference with a record of 55-24. In non-conference games, they are 18-11 and 37-13 against other Western Conference teams.

Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 40-38, going 22-17 on the road and 18-21 at home. As the underdog, they are 11-7 ATS on the road and 9-9 overall.

When it comes to scoring, the Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA at 113.2 points per game. In terms of their road scoring, they are 16th in the league at 114.2 points per game. So far this season, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43% of their games.

Minnesota is 10th in field goal percentage at 48% and 9th in true shooting percentage. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 1st in three-point shooting percentage but just 23rd in three-point attempts.

So far this season, the Timberwolves are 21st in pace at 97.1 possessions per game. In terms of free throw attempts, they are 9th in the league at 22.8 per game.

This season, the Timberwolves defense has been impressive, holding the 1st position in the league while permitting an average of 106.2 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Timberwolves squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 50.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.3% from downtown.

Will the Nuggets Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

At 31-18, the Nuggets have the 4th-best record in the Western Conference against other Western Conference teams. Overall, they are 55-24, which is good for 2nd place in the West.

Denver is favored by 6 points today and has gone 51-18 as the favorite this season. In their last two games, they have covered the spread and are 20-19 ATS at home.

The Nuggets have won three straight games at home and have an average scoring margin of +9.8 points per game at home. On the road, they are 23-16 and have a scoring differential of +0.4 PPG.

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 31-46-2, and 76 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s (212.5). On average, their games have finished with 224.1 points.

In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Jazz by a score of 111-95. They were favored by 15.5 points in that game and easily covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 223.5.

The Nuggets have been one of the best shooting teams in the league this season, ranking 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they have struggled from three-point range, ranking 30th in three-point attempts and 25th in three-point makes. Overall, Denver is 14th in the NBA in scoring at 114.6 points per game.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 118.6 points per game, which is 10th in the league. On the season, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.8% of their games. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the NBA at 96.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in both attempts and makes. In terms of two-point shooting, Denver is 8th in percentage and 2nd in two-point makes. Finally, the Nuggets are 3rd in the NBA in assists at 29.4 per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets’ defense is giving up an average of 109.5 points per contest. Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 95 points to the Jazz.