Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/28/25

Looking to win big? The Golden Gophers and Spartans face off at 8:00 ET on PEAC. The Spartans are hosting the game at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. The odds for this Big Ten conference game currently have Michigan State as the -12.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 139.5 points.
MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS VS MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +12.5
This game will be played at Breslin Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, January 28th.
WHY BET THE MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Spartans.
- Even though we have Michigan State winning straight-up, we like Minnesota at +12.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Will the Golden Gophers Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?
Minnesota Golden Gophers Recent Game/Games
Minnesota improved to 11-9 on the season with a 77-69 win over Oregon on Saturday. The Golden Gophers were +4.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread with the victory.
Leading 44-38 at halftime, Minnesota scored 33 points in the second half while holding Oregon to 31. The game’s total points of 146 went over the pre-game O/U line of 138.5.
In their latest game, Minnesota’s offense put up 77 points, shooting 52.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 57.9%. They hit 58.5% of their two-point attempts and went 6-for-16 from beyond the arc, shooting 37.5% from three-point range. The Golden Gophers also struggled from the free-throw line, connecting on just 61.1% of their attempts.
Dawson Garcia led the way with 31 points and 6 rebounds, shooting 68.4% from the field and 60% from three-point range. Brandon Angel chipped in 18 points, hitting 3-of-7 from deep, while Jackson Shelstad and TJ Bamba each added 15 points. Parker Fox contributed 13 points and 11 rebounds, and Lu’Cye Patterson finished with 11 points, making his only three-point attempt.
Despite Minnesota’s defensive struggles, allowing 69 points on 52% shooting, their opponent couldn’t capitalize from deep, hitting just 6 of 16 threes for 37%.
The Golden Gophers also sent their opponent to the line 18 times, where they made 11 free throws, shooting 61%.
Will Michigan State Find a Way to Win at Home?
Michigan State Spartans Recent Game/Games
The Spartans improved to 17-2 on the season with an 81-74 win over Rutgers on Saturday. Playing on the road, Michigan State entered the game as -7.5 favorites but didn’t cover the spread.
Michigan State led 35-32 at halftime and scored 46 points in the 2nd half while allowing 42. The game’s total points of 155 exceeded the over/under line of 150.5.
Michigan State put up 81 points in their last game, shooting 48.2% from the field. They hit 59.5% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, going just 5-for-19 (26.3%). Their effective field goal percentage was 53.6%, and they connected on 84.6% of their free throws, hitting 22 of 26 attempts.
Jordan Derkack led the way with 26 points, shooting 7-for-11 overall and 4-for-7 from three. Jase Richardson added 20 points, hitting 3 of 4 from deep. Ace Bailey contributed 18 points, despite shooting just 4-for-17 from the field. Coen Carr was perfect from the floor, making all 5 of his attempts and finishing with 14 points.
Despite Michigan State holding their opponent to 33% shooting from the field, they still allowed 74 points. The Spartans gave up 14 field goals on 38 attempts from two-point range, with their opponent shooting 36%.
From beyond the arc, Michigan State’s defense allowed 9 three-pointers on 30 attempts, a 30% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 25 times, where they converted 19 free throws for 76%. The Spartans allowed 15 offensive rebounds.