Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/25

At 8:00 ET, the Milwaukee Bucks (-125) will take on the Miami Heat (+105) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 215.5.
Milwaukee is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 42-34 on the season. They are 6th in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the Central Division. Miami is 10th in the East and 35-42 overall.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat +2
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 8:00 ET on Saturday, April 5th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-105 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.1% and knocking down 14 threes.
Can The Bucks Secure a Road Victory?
The Bucks improved to 42-34 this season after a 126-113 win over the 76ers on Thursday. Milwaukee, favored by 11.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The total score of 239 points surpassed the over/under line of 227.5 by 11.5 points.
Milwaukee overcame a slow start, falling behind 42-22 after a 13-0 run by the 76ers. They responded by winning the 2nd quarter 36-20 and continued to outscore Philadelphia in the 3rd and 4th quarters, sealing the win.
Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 35-point, 17-rebound, 20-assist performance powered the Bucks to a 126-113 win over the 76ers, as he shot 63.2% from the field. Brook Lopez added 17 points, while Kyle Kuzma chipped in 16.
Milwaukee connected on 16 threes, shooting 51.6% from beyond the arc and 56.1% overall. Giannis scored 12 points in the 2nd quarter and 11 in the 4th, with Kuzma adding 9 points in the 3rd.
Despite giving up 39 points in the 1st quarter, the Bucks tightened up defensively, allowing just 20 points in the 2nd quarter to help secure a 126-113 win over the 76ers. Milwaukee also limited Philadelphia to 28 points in the 3rd quarter and 26 in the 4th.
The Bucks did a great job defending the three-point line, holding the 76ers to 12 made threes on 30% shooting. Philadelphia went 15/19 from the free-throw line. Milwaukee finished with 7 steals and 7 blocks.
Will the Heat Make it Happen at Home?
Miami fell to 35-42 on the season after a narrow 110-108 loss to the Grizzlies on Thursday. The Heat, who were +5.5 point underdogs, covered the spread at home. The total points for the game were 218, falling short of the 226-point line.
Miami led 27-22 after the 1st quarter, but Memphis took the 2nd quarter 27-23. Both teams scored 35 points in the 3rd, leaving Miami with a slim 85-84 lead going into the 4th. However, the Grizzlies edged out the Heat 26-23 in the final quarter to secure the win.
In their 110-108 loss to the Grizzlies, the Heat shot 41.1% from the field, but connected on 42.4% of their threes, making 14 from beyond the arc. Tyler Herro led Miami with 35 points, hitting 4 threes at a 57.1% rate, and added 9 rebounds and 4 assists.
Bam Adebayo contributed 26 points, with 12 coming in the 1st quarter. Herro scored 19 points in the 3rd quarter, while Kel’el Ware added 8 of his 13 points in the same period. Davion Mitchell chipped in 6 of his 11 points in the 4th quarter.
Defensively, the Heat had a tough 3rd quarter, giving up 35 points, which contributed to their 110-108 loss to the Grizzlies. Overall, they allowed Memphis to shoot 47% from the field.
Miami struggled to defend the three, as the Grizzlies hit 16 threes at a 42% clip. The Heat sent Memphis to the line 17 times, where they made 14 free throws. Miami finished with 11 steals and 8 blocks.