Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Betting Pick & Prediction 3/11/25
At 7:30 ET, the Pacers will host the Bucks in a Central Division matchup. Milwaukee (-144) is favored by 3 points and has dropped two straight games. Indiana (+121) has lost three in a row and is currently fifth in the East.
These two teams are separated by just a game in the standings. The Bucks (36-27) are fourth in the conference, while the Pacers (35-28) are fifth. The over/under line for tonight’s game is 234 points.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS INDIANA PACERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Indiana Pacers +3
This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, March 11th.
WHY BET THE INDIANA PACERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 133-132 in favor of the Pacers.
- Our projections have Pascal Siakam finishing with 20 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists.
- From the field, we have the Pacers finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 15 threes.
Can Milwaukee Grab a Win on the Road?
The Bucks fell to 36-27 on the season after a 112-100 loss to the Cavaliers on Sunday. Milwaukee was +7 point underdogs at home and failed to cover the spread, losing by 12. The game’s total points of 212 were well below the O/U line of 241.5.
Milwaukee trailed 34-32 after the 1st quarter, but a 28-20 2nd quarter by Cleveland put them in a hole. The Bucks cut into the lead in the 3rd, outscoring the Cavs 25-22, but a 13-0 run by Cleveland in the 4th quarter sealed the game.
In their loss to the Cavaliers, the Bucks managed just 100 points, shooting 42.9% from the field. Their three-point shooting was particularly problematic, as they hit only 9 threes at a 29% clip.
Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 30 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 54.2% from the floor. Damian Lillard added 22 points, while Kyle Kuzma contributed 14 points, making 2 threes at 40% efficiency.
Defensively, the Bucks struggled in the 1st quarter, giving up 34 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 22. Overall, they allowed 112 points on 44% shooting from the field.
Milwaukee had trouble defending the three, as the Cavaliers hit 19 threes at a 40% clip. The Bucks sent Cleveland to the line 19 times, where they made 15 free throws. Milwaukee finished with 9 steals and 2 blocks.
Can the Pacers Please their Home Crowd?
Indiana fell to 35-28 on the season after a 121-103 road loss to the Bulls on Monday. The Pacers, who were favored by 4 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 224 fell short of the 239-point O/U line.
After a 27-27 tie in the 1st quarter, the Bulls took control with a 40-21 2nd quarter, including a 12-0 run. Indiana trailed 94-73 going into the 4th, where they outscored Chicago 30-27, but it wasn’t enough to mount a comeback.
The Pacers struggled offensively in their loss to the Bulls, shooting just 39.6% from the field and hitting only 25% of their three-point attempts, making 10 threes overall. Myles Turner led Indiana with 15 points, 11 of which came in the 2nd quarter, and he added 4 rebounds and 2 assists.
Pascal Siakam contributed 13 points, with 6 coming in the opening quarter, while Ben Sheppard added 12 points, scoring 7 in the 4th. Sheppard connected on 2 threes, shooting 50% from deep, while Turner also made 2 threes, hitting 40% from beyond the arc.
Despite holding the Bulls to 27 points in three separate quarters, the Pacers allowed 40 points in the 2nd, leading to a 121-103 loss. Chicago shot 50% from the field overall.
Indiana did a decent job defending the three, with the Bulls hitting 12 threes at a 36% clip. The Pacers also sent Chicago to the line 14 times, where they made 11 free throws.