Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 3/18/25

At 10:00 ET, the 4th-seeded Bucks (-161) will travel to San Francisco to take on the 6th-seeded Warriors (+133) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 230 points.
This game will be played at the Chase Center and can be seen on NBCS.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -3.5
This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, March 18th.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-121 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with 30 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.0% and knocking down 15 threes.
Will the Bucks Find a Way to Win in San Francisco?
Milwaukee’s record dropped to 38-29 after a 121-105 loss to the Thunder on Sunday. The Bucks were +5.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread, losing by 16 points at home. The total score of 226 points fell short of the 233-point O/U line.
Milwaukee went on a 10-0 run early, taking the score from 24-19 to 29-24, but they struggled after that. The Thunder took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Bucks 29-15. Despite a 33-point 3rd quarter, Milwaukee entered the 4th down 92-74 and couldn’t close the gap, winning the 4th quarter 31-29.
In their 121-105 loss to the Thunder, the Bucks shot just 39.8% from the field. They connected on 13 threes, shooting 38.2% from beyond the arc.
Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 21 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists, while Damian Lillard added 19 points, including 7 in the 1st quarter. Gary Trent contributed 12 points, hitting 3 threes.
Defensively, the Bucks struggled in the 3rd quarter, giving up 39 points, which contributed to their 121-105 loss to the Thunder. Milwaukee allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 51% from the field.
Milwaukee did well in limiting the Thunder from beyond the arc, allowing just 10 made threes on 34% shooting. The Bucks also recorded 8 blocks and 7 steals in the game.
Are Golden State Ready for a Home Win?
Golden State dropped to 39-29 on the season after a 114-105 loss to the Nuggets on Monday. Playing at home, the Warriors were -11.5 point favorites but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game came in at 219, well below the 232.5 O/U line.
Denver took control with an 11-0 run, turning a 36-29 deficit into a 40-36 lead. The Nuggets outscored the Warriors 33-28 in the 2nd quarter and led 89-77 going into the 4th. Golden State won the final quarter 28-25 but couldn’t complete the comeback.
In their 114-105 loss to the Nuggets, the Warriors shot 48.8% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 8 threes at a 24.2% clip. Jimmy Butler led the way with 23 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists, shooting 50% from the floor.
Stephen Curry added 20 points and 7 assists, though he connected on only 28.6% of his shots, including 4 made threes at the same percentage. Gary Payton contributed 18 points, hitting 80% of his field goals and 66.7% from deep, with 11 of his points coming in the 2nd quarter.
Defensively, the Warriors gave up 114 points to the Nuggets, who shot 46% from the field. Golden State allowed 29 points in the 1st quarter and 33 in the 2nd, but tightened up in the 2nd half, giving up 27 points in the 3rd and 25 in the 4th.
The Warriors allowed Denver to hit 14 threes at a 35% clip and sent them to the line 18 times, where they made 14 free throws. Golden State recorded 16 steals and 10 blocks but gave up 19 offensive rebounds.