Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/26/25
At 9:00 ET, the 3rd ranked Denver Nuggets (-190) will host the 5th ranked Milwaukee Bucks (+160) in a non-conference matchup. The Nuggets are favored by 4.5 points and the over/under line is set at 225.
This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and can be seen on ALT.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Denver Nuggets -4.5
This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Wednesday, March 26th.
WHY BET THE DENVER NUGGETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-104 in favor of the Nuggets.
- Our projections have Nikola Jokić finishing with 28 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists.
- From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.5% and knocking down 12 threes.
Can the Bucks Pull Off a Win at Denver?
The Bucks fell to 40-31 on the season after a narrow 108-106 loss to the Suns on Monday. Milwaukee, who entered the game as +3 point underdogs, covered the spread but couldn’t pull off the win. The total points for the game were 214, which was 9.5 points below the O/U line of 223.5.
Milwaukee started strong, leading 30-25 after the 1st quarter. However, the Suns chipped away, outscoring the Bucks 29-28 in the 2nd and 27-20 in the 3rd. Milwaukee tried to rally in the 4th, but despite outscoring Phoenix 28-27, they couldn’t complete the comeback.
In their 108-106 loss to the Suns, the Bucks shot 44.6% from the field and struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 30.8% of their threes, with 12 made in total. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 31 points, 10 rebounds, and 5 assists, shooting 63.2% from the floor.
Brook Lopez contributed 23 points and 10 rebounds, while Gary Trent Jr. added 19 points, making 4 threes at a 50% clip. Giannis scored 10 points in the 1st quarter, and 9 more in the 3rd, while Trent and Kyle Kuzma each added 7 points in the final period.
Defensively, the Bucks gave up 108 points to the Suns, allowing 25 points in the 1st quarter, 29 in the 2nd, and 27 in both the 3rd and 4th quarters. Phoenix shot 47% from the field.
From beyond the arc, Milwaukee allowed 14 threes on 38% shooting. The Suns also went 16/18 from the free-throw line. The Bucks finished with 12 steals but didn’t record any blocks.
Will the Nuggets Live Up to Expectations at Home?
Denver’s record dropped to 45-28 after a 129-119 home loss to the Bulls on Monday. The Nuggets, who were favored by 2.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 248.5 exceeded the over/under line of 238.5 by 9.5 points.
After a 10-0 run that put them up 61-49, the Nuggets couldn’t maintain their momentum. Chicago tied the game at 95 heading into the 4th quarter and outscored Denver 34-24 in the final period to seal the win.
Jamal Murray led the Nuggets with 28 points and 7 assists in their 129-119 loss to the Bulls, hitting 4 threes at a 44.4% clip. Peyton Watson added 24 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter, shooting 66.7% from the field and 50% from deep.
Christian Braun contributed 18 points, scoring 8 in the 4th quarter, while the Nuggets shot 47.4% overall and 30.6% from three, making 11 threes. Murray scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter, and 8 in the 1st.
The Nuggets struggled defensively against the Bulls, giving up 129 points on 49% shooting. Denver allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter but had their worst defensive stretch in the 2nd, where they gave up 38 points. The Bulls added 30 points in the 3rd and 34 in the 4th to seal the win.
Denver had trouble defending the three, as the Bulls hit 17 threes at a 43% clip. The Nuggets also sent Chicago to the line 26 times, where they made 22 free throws. Denver finished with 35 defensive rebounds but gave up 12 offensive boards, while recording 5 steals and 9 blocks.