Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/4/25

At 7:30 ET, the Milwaukee Bucks (-232) will travel to Atlanta to take on the Hawks (+193). The Bucks are favored by 6 points and have won two straight games. The over/under line for this Eastern Conference matchup is 240.5.
This game will be played at State Farm Arena and can be seen on FDSS.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS ATLANTA HAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -6
This game will be played at State Farm Arena at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, March 4th.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-107 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with 30 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.5% and knocking down 15 threes.
Is A Road Victory Likely for the Favored Bucks?
The Bucks improved to 34-25 this season with a 132-117 win over the Mavericks on Saturday. Milwaukee, favored by 3 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 249 points exceeded the O/U line of 229.
Milwaukee took control with a 10-0 run, turning a 69-63 deficit into a 73-69 lead. They dominated the 2nd and 3rd quarters, outscoring Dallas 70-43, before the Mavericks closed the gap in the 4th.
Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 132-117 win over the Mavericks, finishing with 29 points, 9 rebounds, and 9 assists, shooting 64.3% from the field. Damian Lillard added 28 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter, and Gary Trent Jr. contributed 20 points, hitting 4 threes at 33.3% efficiency.
Milwaukee shot 50.6% from the field, connecting on 13 threes at a 33.3% clip. Giannis scored 8 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, while Lillard added 8 in the 2nd and 11 in the 3rd.
Defensively, the Bucks had a strong 3rd quarter, holding the Mavericks to just 16 points, but they struggled in the 1st and 4th, giving up 36 and 38 points, respectively. Overall, they allowed 117 points on 47% shooting from the field.
Milwaukee did an excellent job defending the three, limiting Dallas to 11 made threes on 27% shooting. They also recorded 38 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 6 blocks.
Can Atlanta Secure a Home Victory?
The Hawks improved to 28-33 on the season after a 132-130 road win over the Grizzlies on Monday. Atlanta entered the game as +8 point underdogs and covered the spread with the win. The total points for the game reached 262, surpassing the pre-game O/U line of 250.
After falling behind 39-28 following a 10-0 Grizzlies run, Atlanta responded by outscoring Memphis 42-31 in the 2nd quarter. Although the Grizzlies regained control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Hawks 42-31, Atlanta finished strong by holding Memphis to 23 points in the 4th while scoring 31 of their own.
The Hawks shot 57.3% from the field and 46.4% from three-point range in their 132-130 win over the Grizzlies. Zaccharie Risacher led the way with 27 points, hitting 5 threes at a 71.4% clip, while Caris LeVert added 25 points, including 16 in the 4th quarter.
Risacher scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter, while Dyson Daniels contributed 8 of his 14 points in the opening period. Onyeka Okongwu finished with 16 points and 12 rebounds, scoring 6 points in the 1st quarter.
Even with a shaky defensive performance, the Hawks managed to pull off a win against the Grizzlies, despite giving up 130 points on 50% shooting. Atlanta allowed 34 points in the 1st quarter, 31 in the 2nd, and 42 in the 3rd, but tightened up in the 4th, holding Memphis to just 23 points.
From beyond the arc, the Grizzlies hit 13 threes on 39% shooting. Atlanta also sent Memphis to the line 25 times, where they made 23 free throws. The Hawks gave up 17 offensive rebounds but recorded 12 steals and 7 blocks.