Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 5/4/24
From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have an NL Central matchup between the Brewers and Cubs. First pitch on Saturday is set for 2:20 PM, where the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-60s. Milwaukee comes in with a record of 20-11, while the Cubs are 19-14.
Jameson Taillon will start for the Cubs, and he is up against Tobias Myers for the Brewers. Chicago is at -129 on the money line compared to the Brewers at +108. The over/under line is at 8 runs.
CHICAGO CUBS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -129
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Saturday, May 4th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS CUBS:
- We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Cubs series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -101 and squeaked out a 3-1 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Cubs and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a win.
Chicago’s only run came in the 6th inning when Christopher Morel hit a solo home run. As for the Brewers, they scored one run in the 1st inning and added two insurance runs in the 8th. Both teams were held in check offensively for the most part.
Milwaukee’s starter, Joe Ross, only went six innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued zero walks. Elvis Peguero came out of the bullpen for the win, and Trevor Megill got the save.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central with an overall record of 20-11. The Cubs are two games behind them in the division. So far, they have been really good against other teams in the NL Central, putting up an 8-3 record.
The Brewers have been playing well on the road this year, going 13-4 compared to 7-7 at home. This season, they have been really good in day games, going 12-3. As the road underdog, the Brewers are 9-2 this year, and they have won three straight on the road overall. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 6-2-2, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Brewers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 15-16 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 11-6. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.9.
When the Brewers and Cubs met on Monday, the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs, and the game finished with just four runs scored. That marked the second straight under for the Brewers, who have now played to the under in three of their last four games. The under is now 18-13 in Milwaukee’s games this season, and the average over/under line in their games is set at 8 runs.
Today, Tobias Myers and the Brewers are on the road to take on the Cubs. Myers is coming off a loss in his last start, but he did strike out 4 batters in just 5 innings of work. In his first start of the season, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs.
William Contreras has been on a tear of late, hitting .316 over his last 10 games, and he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .341 with five homers and 26 RBIs. Christian Yelich is also swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, as he is batting .333 with five homers and is 2nd on the team with 11 RBIs.
As a team, the Brewers are the 4th highest scoring team in the league at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. In terms of home runs, they are 5th in the league and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league.
Cubs Records & Stats
After dropping the first game of their series vs. the Brewers, the Cubs lost the first game of the series, putting them two games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Overall, the Cubs are 19-14 this season and have dropped two straight games.
At home, the Cubs have been strong this year, putting together a record of 10-4. On the road, they are just under .500 at 9-10. Chicago has been good as the favorite this year, going 8-4, and they are 11-10 as the underdog. The Cubs’ overall series record is 5-3-2 heading into today’s game.
Chicago is 22-11 against the run line this season, including a 9-5 mark at home. The Cubs have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game overall, but that number jumps to +2.2 runs per game at home. They are 6-6 against the run line as the favorite and 16-5 as the underdog.
Chicago Cubs games have gone over the over/under line in 14 of 32 games this season. The average over/under line in Cubs games is 8 runs, and the over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 1-5. The Cubs’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season.
Jameson Taillon and the Cubs are at home against the Brewers today. Taillon has started three games so far this season, and he has picked up a win in each of his last two starts. He went 5 2/3 innings in his last start, giving up just one earned run on 2 hits and 7 strikeouts.
So far this season, the Cubs have been one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, but they are just 11th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. At home, they are averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Chicago has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, and they are 6th in the league in walks.
Michael Busch and Christopher Morel are tied for the team lead in home runs, with six apiece. Busch is also 2nd on the team with 17 RBIs, while Morel is 1st on the team in RBIs. Morel has gone deep three times in his last eight games but is batting just .210 for the season. Cody Bellinger and Michael Busch have also been driving in runs, as they are both tied for 2nd on the team with 17 RBIs.