Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/7/24

Wednesday’s Braves vs. Brewers matchup features Chris Sale for Atlanta and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers. The forecast for the game in Atlanta calls for temperatures in the mid-90s and overcast skies. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-159).

First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET, and BSSO will be televising this NL matchup. The Brewers are 63-49 and they lead the NL Central, while the Braves are 60-52 and they are 2nd in the NL East. Atlanta has lost three straight.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +134

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Wednesday, August 7th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Braves by a score of 10-0. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Braves and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +113 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Colin Rea for the Brewers and Bryce Elder for the Braves. Rea only went seven innings but didn’t give up a run and finished with nine strikeouts. On the other side, Elder was tagged for seven runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two and three hitters, Willy Adames and William Contreras, each had four RBIs. Adames, Brice Turang, Joey Ortiz, and Rhys Hoskins each scored two runs for the Brewers’ offense.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is currently 63-49 overall, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They hold a six-game lead over the Cardinals for the division lead. The Brewers are 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central. They have gone just 4-6 in their last 10 games.

At home, the Brewers are 31-21 this year, and they have gone 32-28 on the road. As the underdog, Milwaukee is 27-22 this year, and they are 21-15 as the underdog on the road. So far, they have gone 36-27 as the favorite.

On the run line, the Brewers have been a solid bet this season, going 58-54. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 33-27 on the run line, compared to 25-27 at home. As the underdog, they have been particularly strong, going 33-16 on the run line. When they win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs, while in losses, they lose by an average of 2.8 runs.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Brewers have played to an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 61-46. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-7-2. So far this season, 59.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while 25.9% have had lines set at under 8 runs.

Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 3.89. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, Peralta finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Peralta has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 11.14 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Brewers offense has been one of the league’s best, as they are 6th in team batting average and 2nd in on-base percentage. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. One area they could improve is in the power department, as their team ISO of .147 is just 16th in the league.

Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with both players having 19 homers. Adames’ 75 RBIs are 8th in the league, and Hoskins is 3rd on the team with 57 RBIs. Catcher William Contreras has been a solid all-around hitter, batting .283 with 12 homers, and he is also 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs. In his last five games, Jackson Chourio has gone 9/25 (.360) with three runs scored.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 60-52, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 6.5 games. The Braves have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak started with the final game before the All-Star break. So far, they are 18-16 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Braves are 32-24 this season and an even 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 53-41 and 7-11 when they are the underdog. The Braves have dropped three straight as the favorite, and their overall series record is 19-13-5 this year.

When it comes to run line betting, the Braves have been a tough team to figure out this season. They have a losing record against the run line overall and at home, but they have been a .500 team against the run line on the road. They have been a losing bet in their last three games at home, but they have been a winning bet in their last three games as the underdog.

The Braves have the highest combined run average in the majors at 7.9 runs per game, and their over/under record of 40-67 reflects that. They have played 70 games with over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their record in those games is 5-10-1. Overall, 62.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes into the game with a record of 13-3 and ERA of 2.71. This year, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .196 off the left-hander. Sale has made 11 quality starts and is averaging 11.34 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Sale finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The last time he gave up more than two earned runs was on June 30th.

Heading into today’s game, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 15th in the league and have the 8th most home runs in the MLB this season.

Marcell Ozuna has been a bright spot for the Braves this season, as he is hitting .297 with 32 homers and 86 RBIs. Both of those numbers are good for 3rd in the league. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, but he is batting just .228 this season. Over his last eight games, Olson has three homers, but is hitting just .250. Austin Riley has been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/32.