Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 9/13/24

From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Brewers and Diamondbacks facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 9:40 PM ET and is being televised on BSWI. The money line odds have the Brewers at -105 compared to the Diamondbacks at -114, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Friday’s matchup features Eduardo Rodriguez for the Diamondbacks and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers. Rodriguez is 82-64, while the Brewers are 84-62 and are currently in 1st place in the NL Central. Arizona is 2nd in the NL West, and they are on a three-game winning streak.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -114

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Friday, September 13th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Brewers Records & Stats

The Brewers’s offense was carried by Jackson Chourio in their most recent game vs. the Giants. Chourio went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in two of the Brewers’s three runs. Milwaukee also got a good start from Frankie Montas, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Giants batters.

Devin Williams closed things out in the 8th inning, and the Brewers picked up the 3-0 win. Williams didn’t have to record an out, as the Brewers’s offense scored two runs in the top of the 8th to put things out of reach. Milwaukee was the -133 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Milwaukee heads into today’s game vs. the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 84-62, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cubs by 9.0 games for the top spot in the division. The Brewers are 30-19 in divisional games this year.

The Brewers have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games and closed out their series vs. the Giants with a win. This year, the Brewers are 42-29 at home compared to 42-33 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 86 games, where they are 50-36. As the underdog, the Brewers are 34-26 this season. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 26-17-4, and they have won three straight series on the road.

When the Brewers are favored, they are just 34-52 against the run line, but as an underdog, they are 40-20. Overall, they are 74-72 vs. the run line, and their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game.

When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.7 runs per game. The over/under record for the Brewers this season is 75-62, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 27 of 49 games, which is a 55.1% over rate. Overall, 20.5% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. This year, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 10-8 with a 3.81 ERA. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 29 starts, he has pitched 158 1/3 innings and has turned in 11 quality starts. Peralta’s last outing came on September 8th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats, with Contreras batting .280 with 21 homers and Adames at .251 with a team-high 30 home runs. Adames’ 102 RBIs are 4th in the league, and he is also on a good stretch of games, going 7/26 in his last eight games. Rhys Hoskins is also a power threat, with 23 homers, but he is batting just .206.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and are 2nd in the league in walks. Milwaukee’s team batting average of .249 is 9th in the league, and they have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Eugenio Suarez was hot at the plate in the Diamondbacks’s most recent game vs. the Rangers, going 4/4 with two homers and four RBIs. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a json3rd inning, scoring three runs, and added another three runs in the 4th. Arizona was the heavy favorite at -165 going into the game.

Merrill Kelly got the start for the Diamondbacks, going four innings and giving up three runs on four hits. He also issued two walks and took the loss. Dylan Floro was excellent out of the bullpen, tossing three scoreless innings, and the Diamondbacks’s offense scored another eight runs to close things out.

Arizona is five games behind the Dodgers in the NL West as they are 82-64 overall. The Diamondbacks will take on the Brewers at home today, having won three straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games. This season, they are 25-18 in the division.

At home, the Diamondbacks have gone 41-31 compared to 41-33 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona is 47-26 this season and 35-38 as the underdog. They have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 26-17-4.

Arizona has been a solid run-line bet this season, going 77-69 overall, including a 34-38 mark at home. The Diamondbacks have been particularly profitable on the road, going 43-31 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game this season.

The Diamondbacks have played in 54 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 10.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 84-55, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 31 times and under 17 times. Overall, 37.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.

Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Brewers at home. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 5.83. In his last outing, Rodriguez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, he has given up at least one homer in each. Rodriguez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.53. Opposing batters are hitting .287 off Rodriguez this year.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks also come into the game as the league’s top team in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.

Over his last nine games, Eugenio Suarez has been on fire for the Diamondbacks, going 17/33 (.515) with six homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .256 with 28 homers and 92 RBIs. Ketel Marte is also having a strong season, batting .295 with 31 homers and 85 RBIs.