Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

ESPN+ will be covering the week six matchup between the Miami (OH) RedHawks and Toledo Rockets, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from the Glass Bowl in Toledo. The Rockets are the -6.5 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 44.5 points. Miami (OH) enters the game with a 1-3 record, while Toledo sits at 3-1 on the season.

MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS VS TOLEDO ROCKETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toledo Rockets -6.5

This game will be played at Glass Bowl at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE TOLEDO ROCKETS:

• We have the Toledo Rockets winning this one by a score of 28 to 17
• Not only do we have the Toledo Rockets winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -6.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 44.5 points

Will The Miami (OH) RedHawks Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Miami (OH) enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, facing Toledo on the road. They are ranked 97th in our power rankings, but have a 53.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 0-2 on the road and 0-1 at home this season.

The RedHawks have not been favored in any of their games and have an average scoring margin of -10 points per game. Against the spread, they are 1-2, with a 1-1 record on the road and 0-1 at home.

Miami (OH)’s over/under record is 0-3, with their games averaging 34 points. Their average over/under line has been 43.9 points, and this week’s line is set at 44.5 points.

Heading into week 6, Miami (OH) ranks 109th in our offensive power rankings, averaging just 12 points per game. Quarterback Brett Gabbert has thrown three touchdowns and six interceptions, posting a passer rating of 65. Overall, the team ranks 124th in passer rating.

Miami (OH) is 46th in passing attempts, averaging 220.8 yards per game. Gabbert has completed 56.8% of his passes for 866 yards. On third downs, the RedHawks have converted just 27.7% of their attempts. Keyon Mozee leads the rushing attack with 174 yards, while Cade McDonald has 328 receiving yards.

Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed 22 points per game this season, ranking 30th nationally. In their recent game against UMass, they gave up 20 points, including 344 total yards, with 171 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 173 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 201.8 rushing yards per game against Miami, while the secondary has allowed just 173.8 passing yards per game, ranking 36th in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 56.4% of their passes and have a passer rating of 84.6 against Miami’s defense.

Are The Toledo Rockets Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Toledo enters Week 6 with a 3-1 record, facing Miami (OH) at home. They are ranked 74th in our power rankings and have a 97.8% chance of being bowl-eligible. The Rockets have a 30.7% chance of winning the Mid-American Conference this season.

Toledo has been favored in two of their four games, going 1-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +18.2 points, and they are 1-2 against the spread this season.

So far, Toledo’s over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 56.2 points. The average over/under line for their games has been 56.5 points, and this week’s line is set at 44.5 points.

Toledo’s offense is averaging 37.2 points per game, ranking 22nd nationally, and they are converting 48.1% of their third downs. Quarterback Tucker Gleason has thrown for 862 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, with a passer rating of 111. Toledo is ranked 20th in passer rating and 61st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6.

Toledo ranks 64th in passing attempts per game, averaging 234.8 yards through the air. Gleason has completed 60.2% of his passes. Leading receiver Junior Vandeross III has 267 yards and 3 touchdowns. On the ground, Toledo is averaging 138.8 rushing yards per game. Willie Shaw III leads the team with 148 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Toledo’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 22nd nationally by allowing just 19 points per game. Against Western Kentucky, they gave up 26 points, while allowing 20 first downs and 355 total yards. The Rockets held Western Kentucky to 123 rushing yards on 39 attempts and forced two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 96.5 rushing yards per game against Toledo, ranking 26th in the nation. However, the Rockets have struggled against the pass, allowing 245.2 yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 65.5% of their throws, the highest percentage allowed in the country.