Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 9/1/24
This article was published on Sep 1, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

At 4:05 PM ET, the Marlins and Giants square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the Giants are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -273. The money line odds for a Marlins win are at +224, and their record is 50-86, while the Giants are 68-69.
BSFL will be televising Sunday’s matchup, and Logan Webb will be on the mound for the Giants. The Marlins are starting Darren McCaughan. In the over/under market, the total is at 7.5 runs.
MIAMI MARLINS VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +224
This game will be played at Oracle Park at 4:05 ET on Sunday, September 1st.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS GIANTS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Miami rallied for three runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Giants series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 6th, picking up a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +121 on the money line.
Edward Cabrera started for the Marlins and went 5 1/3 innings while giving up just one run and striking out three. He picked up a win in the game, while Calvin Faucher got the save. Mason Black only went five innings for the Giants, giving up two earned runs on four hits.
Griffin Conine and Connor Norby each homered for the Marlins, while Jesus Sanchez went 2/4 with two RBIs. Michael Conforto hit a home run for the Giants, going 2/4.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 30 games for the division lead. Overall, they are 50-86 and trail the Nationals by 11 games for 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone just 13-26 against other teams in the NL East.
The Marlins have really struggled at home this year, going 25-44. On the road, they are 25-42. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-13. As the underdog, they are 46-73 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 10-26-7, and they have dropped four straight series at home.
When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog, as they are 61-58. They are just 2-15 as the favorite. Miami’s overall run line record is 63-73, and their average run differential is -1.4 runs per game. Their average run differential in wins is +2.7, while in losses it’s -3.8. On the road, they are 34-33 vs. the run line, with an average scoring margin of -1.0 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins are on the road against the San Francisco Giants today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Marlins games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 74-58. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Marlins have gone over in 19 of 27 games. Overall, 73.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
Darren McCaughan is getting the start for the Marlins today on the road against the Giants. This will be his first start of the season after making 3 relief appearances. He has yet to factor into a decision and has a total of 8 innings pitched so far.
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game at just 3.8. This is a result of their poor home and road splits, as they are averaging just 3.4 runs per game on the road and 4.1 at home. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 12th best in the league.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers are 11th best in the league. He also leads the team with 59 RBIs. Kyle Stowers and Derek Hill have been swinging the bat well of late, with Stowers going 10/24 in his last seven games and Hill hitting .273 with three homers in his last six games. Hill also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
Giants Records & Stats
With a record of 68-69, the Giants are 14.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 21-19 in divisional games. The Giants will be at home today, and they are 39-29 at home this season.
San Francisco has an overall series record of 21-18-4 this year, but they have dropped two straight series. As the favorite, the Giants are 43-31 and 31-20 as the favorite at home. Their overall record as the underdog is 25-38 this season.
San Francisco has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 68-69. The Giants have been a better bet on the road, where they are 38-31 against the run line, compared to 30-38 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 37-26 against the run line, compared to 31-43 as the favorite. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game on the road and have a run differential of +0.2 runs per game at home.
The Giants have played in 72 games this season with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs, which is 52.6% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 68-63. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over the total 26 times and under 23 times. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and they are currently on a streak of three straight unders.
Right-hander Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants today as he faces off against the Marlins at home. Webb has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.24 ERA. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 18 quality starts and is averaging 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Webb’s last outing came against the Brewers, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up an earned run.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Giants are batting .240, which is 12th in the league, and have the 19th ranked home run total in the league. So far, they have been an average team in terms of on-base percentage and slugging.
Over his last eight games, Matt Chapman has gone 8/29 with one home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .247 with a team-high 67 RBIs. Heliot Ramos is batting .276 for the season and has the 2nd most homers on the team (20). However, he is just 6/31 over his last eight games.
