Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/13/24
The Phillies are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they are 69-49 overall, which has them first in the NL East. The Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 44-75. Taijuan Walker will start for the Phillies, while the Marlins are going with Valente Bellozo.
Philadelphia is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -180 compared to the Marlins at +151. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and this NL East matchup can be seen on BSFL.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -180
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 13th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Marlins Records & Stats
The Marlins pulled off a big 7-6 upset over the Padres to close out their series. Miami was the +173 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning and added another three runs in the 2nd.
Max Meyer got the start for the Marlins, going 6 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up four earned runs on seven hits and issued three walks. The Marlins’ offense was carried by Jake Burger, who went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Miami is 44-75 overall this season, putting them 5th in the NL East, 25.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are just 11-23 in divisional games. The Marlins closed out their series vs. the Padres with a loss and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Marlins are 24-39 compared to 20-36 on the road. This year, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-13. As the underdog, they are 40-62 this season. Miami’s overall series record is 10-23-4, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Marlins are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 28-28. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 54-48 as the underdog. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.7, while their average run margin in winning games is +2.7.
The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Marlins and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-50. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 9 runs is 3-11. So far this season, just 4.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their over/under streak is currently at 2 games.
Valente Bellozo is on the mound for the Marlins today, as they are taking on the Phillies on the road. Bellozo is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 4. He has yet to give up a home run this season, but did give up 2 in his first start of the year.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average of .237 is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Jake Burger has been on a tear of late, going 10/24 in his last six games with five homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .251 with a team-high 53 RBIs and 22 homers. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run leaderboard, with 14 homers this season.
Phillies Records & Stats
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 12-5 loss. Philadelphia was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Diamondbacks scored four times in the third.
Cristopher Sanchez got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs on 12 hits. Nick Castellanos was one of the few bright spots for the Phillies, going 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Phillies also scored three times in the 7th to make things interesting, but they couldn’t complete the comeback.
Philadelphia is hosting the Marlins today with an overall record of 69-49, and they lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies head into today’s game having dropped three straight games, and this came in the final three games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 15-10 in divisional matchups.
As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 58-37 this season and 37-19 as the favorite at home. Philadelphia is 31-28 on the road compared to going 38-21 at home. The Phillies’ overall series record is 20-15-4, and they have dropped four straight series at home.
When betting the run line, the Phillies have been a much better play at home than on the road, going 28-31 in Philadelphia compared to 30-29 away from home. They have been favored in 95 games, going 46-49 against the run line, and have been the underdog 23 times, going 12-11. The average run margin in their games this season is +0.8 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the Philadelphia Phillies’ game against the Miami Marlins is just slightly higher than their season average of 8.9 runs per game. The Phillies have hit the over in 55 of their 112 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 5-10-1. The over has hit in their last two games.
Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Phillies today vs. the Marlins and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks. In that start, he took the loss, going just 4 innings and giving up 4 earned runs, 3 walks, and 3 home runs. Walker has given up at least one home run in each of his last four starts. Walker’s ERA for the season is 5.60, along with a record of 3-3. Opponents are batting .282 off Walker this season. He has made 10 appearances and two of them were quality starts. For the year, Walker has allowed 12 homers.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .255, which is 6th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs. The Phillies have three players with at least 26 homers, including Kyle Schwarber, who is 7th in the league with 27 homers.
Over his last 10 games, Schwarber has been on fire, going 14/39 with five homers and 11 RBIs. Alec Bohm comes into the game on a 13-game hitting streak, and for the season, he is batting .297 with 12 homers. Bryce Harper is also a significant power threat, as he is 2nd on the team with 26 homers and is batting .279.