Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/30/24

There does appear to be a chance of rain for Sunday’s Marlins vs. Phillies game in Philadelphia, as the forecasted temperature is 79 degrees. Miami is 30-53 compared to the Phillies, who are 54-29.

First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 1:35 PM ET, and BSFL will be televising this matchup. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -250. The Marlins are starting Yonny Chirinos, while the Phillies are going with Ranger Suarez.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, June 30th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Marlins vs Phillies series. Miami went into the matchup as +213 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Marlins had a two-run 7th inning, and the Phillies could only muster one run in the 5th inning.

Philadelphia wasted a good outing from Aaron Nola, as he gave up just three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Andrew Nardi got the win for the Marlins out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save.

Nick Gordon and Otto Lopez were the only two Marlins hitters to have more than one hit. Garrett Stubbs hit the game’s only home run for the Phillies, going 1/2 with three RBIs.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 30-53 overall this season, and they are 24.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 7-18 so far. This year, they are just 3-12 as the favorite, and they are 27-41 as the underdog.

At home, the Marlins are 16-27 compared to 14-26 on the road. Miami has won two of the first three games of this series vs. the Phillies. So far, their overall series record is 7-18-1.

When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a better bet as the underdog than the favorite. Miami’s run line record as the underdog is 35-33, compared to just 1-14 as the favorite. The Marlins’ overall run line record is 36-47, with an average run margin of -1.5 runs per game.

When the Miami Marlins are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for 29 of their games this season, and the over has hit in 15 of those contests. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 42-40. The over/under line for their games this season has averaged 8 runs per game.

Yonny Chirinos is getting the start for the Marlins on the road against the Phillies. He has made two starts so far this season, and both have been 5-inning outings. In his last start, he gave up 2 earned runs over 5 innings vs. the Cardinals. He struck out 5 and allowed 3 hits.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per contest. Miami’s offense is also the league’s worst home run hitting team and have the worst team OPS in the league at just .627. As a team, they are batting .230.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been the Marlins’ top two power threats this season. De La Cruz’s 14 homers is 1st on the team and 12th in the league, while Chisholm Jr. is 2nd on the team with 10 homers. Chisholm Jr. comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .260 for the season.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 54-29, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. Currently, they are 13-8 in divisional matchups. The Phillies have been strong at home this season, going 32-14, but they are just above .500 on the road at 22-15.

Philadelphia has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 17-7-4 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 48-23 and 31-12 as the favorite at home. So far, they have been good in night games, going 36-15.

The Phillies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 44-39 overall. They’ve been slightly better at home, going 24-22 against the run line. Their average run margin is +1.4 runs per game, and they’ve been a better bet as the favorite, going 38-33 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9 runs per game.

The Phillies have played 18 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs this season, and they have gone over the total in six of those contests. Overall, Philadelphia has an over/under record of 35-43, and the average line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs. The under has hit in two straight games for the Phillies, and their games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game this season.

Left-hander Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 10-2 with an ERA of 1.83. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is .92, and he has one complete game shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss vs. the Tigers, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone 6 2/3 innings in three straight outings. Suárez has allowed just six homers this year and is averaging 9.06 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia comes into the game as the 5th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average. The Phillies also do a good job of getting on base, as they have the 2nd best OBP in the league.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been a nice 1-2 punch in the lineup, as Harper is batting .303 with 20 homers, and Schwarber is hitting .250 with 17 homers. Harper is currently on a 12-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm has also been a key run producer for the Phillies, as his 66 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 4th best in the league.