Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/29/24

First pitch for Saturday’s Marlins vs. Phillies matchup is set for 4:05 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -256 compared to the Marlins at +211. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

Miami comes into the game with a record of 29-53, which has them in 5th place in the NL East. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 54-28. Aaron Nola will be starting for the Phillies, while the Marlins are sending Roddery Munoz to the mound. NSPPH will be televising this matchup.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, June 29th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Philadelphia picked up a 2-0 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had just two more hits than the Marlins and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -225 on the money line.

Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and picked up a win, going nine innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three hits allowed and nine strikeouts. Kyle Tyler only went 4 2/3 innings for the Marlins, giving up one run on four hits.

Both teams scored their only run in the 5th inning. Miami had a chance to tie the game in the 9th, but went down without scoring a run. Sanchez got the complete game win for the Phillies.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 29-53 overall and is 25 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins are 6-18 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they are 16-27 at home compared to 13-26 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 26-41 this season, compared to 3-12 as the favorite.

So far, the Marlins are 7-18-1 in series this year. They are currently 1-1 in their series vs. the Phillies. Looking at how they have played recently, the Marlins are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record of 35-47 is a result of a 16-27 run line record at home and a 19-20 run line record on the road. They are 34-33 against the run line as an underdog, but just 1-14 as the favorite.

When the Miami Marlins are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Marlins have played 81 games with an average combined run total of 8.5 runs. Their over/under record is 42-39, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 15 times and under 14 times. So far this season, 50% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs.

Roddery Muñoz gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 5.80. Looking at his overall numbers, Muñoz has a WHIP of 1.40 and has issued 4.54 walks per nine innings compared to 8.58 strikeouts. Muñoz has made two quality starts this year, and opponents are batting .229. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .230, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage.

Over his last six games, Jake Burger has gone 6/23 with one home run. This comes after Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have been the team’s top power threats this season. De La Cruz has 14 homers (12th in the league) and Chisholm Jr. has 10. Chisholm Jr. is also batting a team-high .260.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 54-28, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies are 13-7 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies have gone 32-13 this season compared to 22-15 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 35-14 this year.

Philadelphia has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 17-7-4 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 48-22 and 31-11 as the favorite at home. So far, they are an even 6-6 as the underdog. The Phillies are coming off a loss to the Marlins and are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

When betting the Phillies on the run line this season, you would have a winning record. The Phillies are 44-38 on the run line this season. They are 24-21 on the run line at home and 20-17 on the run line on the road. The Phillies are 38-32 on the run line as the favorite and 6-6 on the run line as the underdog.

When the Philadelphia Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly their combined run average this season. The Phillies have gone over the line in 6 of 16 games when the line is set at 8.5 runs. Overall, their over/under record is 35-42, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game, with the over/under line set at 8 runs on average.

Through 16 starts, Aaron Nola has a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 3.39. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. Nola has pitched one shutout and has 11 quality starts this season. In his last outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Nola has been excellent, giving up a combined three earned runs in that span. The right-hander has been especially tough at home, going 4-2 with a 4.08 ERA compared to 5-1 with a 4.33 ERA on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies offense is 3rd in the MLB in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average. The Phillies have also been very patient at the plate, as they are 4th in walks and have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage.

Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm have been two of the Phillies most consistent hitters this season, with Harper batting .303 with a team-high 20 home runs, and Bohm batting .300 with 9 homers. Harper has been especially hot of late, going 7/18 with two homers over his last four games. Harper also comes into the game on a 12-game hitting streak. Kyle Schwarber is 2nd on the team with 17 homers but is batting just .250 this season.