Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/26/24

Brady Singer will start for the Royals on Wednesday, as they are hosting the Marlins, who are starting Valente Bellozo. The forecast for the game in Kansas City calls for light rain and temperatures in the upper 70s.

The over/under line for Wednesday’s interleague matchup is at 9 runs, and the Royals are heavily favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -231. The Marlins are +191 on the money line, and they are 5th in the NL East with a record of 28-51. Kansas City is 3rd in the AL Central at 43-38. BSKC is carrying the game on TV.

MIAMI MARLINS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 2:10 ET on Wednesday, June 26th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS ROYALS:

• We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Miami picked up a 2-1 road win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense only had two more hits than the Royals and struck out 10 times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +161 on the money line.

The Marlins got to Royals starter Seth Lugo, who gave up two homers and eight runs in just six innings of work. As for the Marlins, Yonny Chirinos only went five innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. A.J. Puk got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save.

Kansas City had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th, but Scott closed the door for the Marlins. Carlos Hernandez took the loss for the Royals, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 28-51 overall, which has them 5th in the NL East, and they are 24.0 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 5-17 in divisional games. The Marlins are playing on the road today, and they are 12-24 as the road underdog this season.

The Marlins have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 7-17-1. At home, the Marlins are just 16-27 compared to 12-24 on the road. This year, the Marlins are just 3-12 when favored.

When betting on the Marlins run line this season, it’s been best to take them as the underdog. They are 33-31 against the run line in those games. They have a negative run differential both at home and on the road, but their run line record is .500 on the road. They have been the favorite in 15 games this season and have only covered the run line in one of those games.

The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Kansas City Royals. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.5 runs per game. The Marlins’ over/under record this season is 41-37, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Marlins are 2-6 on the season. This season, only 5.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

The Marlins will be sending Valente Bellozo to the mound today against the Royals. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the 2nd worst mark in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .231 and have the worst isolated power rating in the league.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Chisholm Jr. leading the team with 37 RBIs and De La Cruz’s 14 homers being the best mark on the team. De La Cruz has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/29 in his last seven games with two homers.

Royals Records & Stats

Kansas City is 43-38 overall and trails the Guardians by 10 games in the AL Central. The Royals are 3rd in the division and have gone 13-9 against other teams in the AL Central. They will take on the Marlins today at home, where they are 26-15 this season.

The Royals have dropped four straight series, with an overall series record of 11-13-1. As for their overall record, they are 3-7 over their last 10 games, and they are currently tied 1-1 in their series vs. the Marlins.

When the Royals are favored, they are just 16-17 against the run line. But when they are the underdog, they are 29-19. Their overall run line record is 45-36, and they have covered the run line at home more often than on the road, going 24-17 at Kauffman Stadium. They have an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game, and their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game.

Despite the fact that the Kansas City Royals have played in just 11.1% of their games with an over/under line of 9 runs or more, the over/under line for today’s game against the Miami Marlins is set at 9. The Royals have a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 34-44. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and they are currently on a four-game under streak.

Through 15 starts, Brady Singer has a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 3.29. This year, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.78 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Singer finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 3.12 compared to 0-2 with a 3.66 ERA on the road.

So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, and their team on-base percentage of .305 is 15th in the MLB. The Royals have been one of the better home run hitting teams in the league, and their top two home run hitters, Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, are also the team’s top two hitters in terms of batting average.

Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino have each gone deep eight times this season, but Perez has the better batting average of the two, hitting .279 compared to Pasquantino’s mark of .232. However, Perez has gone just 2/18 in his last five games, and Pasquantino is 3/19 during that stretch. Bobby Witt Jr. comes into the game batting .311 for the season and has gone deep 12 times.