Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Betting Pick & Prediction 3/31/25

The Miami Heat (-377) are currently on a four-game winning streak and are favored by nine points over the Washington Wizards (+300), who have lost two straight games. The over/under line for this Eastern Southeast Division matchup is 220.5 points.
This game will take place at the Capital One Arena in Washington and is scheduled to tip-off at 7:00 ET. You can catch the game on MNMT.
MIAMI HEAT VS WASHINGTON WIZARDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -9
This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, March 31st.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 98-75 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.2% and knocking down 11 threes.
Can the Heat Live Up to the Hype on the Road?
Miami improved to 33-41 on the season with a 118-95 win over the 76ers on Saturday. The Heat were favored by eight points and covered the spread, while the total score of 213 points just missed the over/under line of 215.
Miami led 34-29 after the 1st quarter and extended their lead by outscoring Philadelphia 28-24 in the 2nd quarter. A 10-0 run in the 3rd quarter helped the Heat pull away, taking the score from 90-75 to 90-85. Miami finished strong, outscoring the 76ers 22-20 in the 4th quarter.
In their win over the 76ers, the Heat hit 20 threes, shooting 46.5% from deep and 47.3% overall. Tyler Herro led with 30 points and 5 threes, while Alec Burks added 20 points, hitting 6 threes.
Herro scored 10 points in the 1st quarter and 8 in the 4th. Burks had 12 points in the 3rd, and Bam Adebayo added 9 of his 16 points in that quarter.
Despite allowing 29 points in the 1st quarter, the Heat tightened up defensively, giving up just 24 points in the 2nd, 22 in the 3rd, and 20 in the 4th to hold the 76ers to 95 points. Miami sent Philadelphia to the free-throw line 14 times, where they made only 6 attempts.
The Heat allowed the 76ers to shoot 50% from the field and 40% from three, with Philadelphia hitting 13 threes. Miami collected 31 defensive rebounds while giving up 6 offensive boards. They also recorded 12 steals and 4 blocks in the game.
Will the Wizards Defense Show Up at Home?
The Wizards fell to 16-58 on the season after a 115-112 home loss to the Nets on Saturday. Washington, who were -2 point favorites, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total score of 227 points went over the pre-game line of 222.5 by 4.5 points.
Washington led 59-51 at halftime and 85-82 heading into the 4th quarter. However, they were outscored 33-27 in the final period, allowing Brooklyn to complete the comeback.
In their 115-112 loss to the Nets, the Wizards shot 43.5% from the field and struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 26.5% clip. AJ Johnson and Colby Jones each scored 20 points, with Jones shooting 63.6% from the field.
Johnson scored 14 points in the 4th quarter, while Jones added 7. Jaylen Martin contributed 6 of his 13 points in the final period, and Jordan Poole scored 6 of his 12 points in the 3rd quarter. Alex Sarr also added 8 of his 12 points in the opening period.
The Wizards started strong defensively, giving up just 23 points in the 1st quarter, but they struggled in the 3rd and 4th, allowing 31 and 33 points, respectively, in their 115-112 loss to the Nets. Washington held Brooklyn to 44% shooting overall.
From beyond the arc, the Wizards allowed 18 threes on 39% shooting. The Nets also went 19/20 from the free-throw line. Washington finished with 33 defensive rebounds, gave up 12 offensive boards, and recorded 5 steals and 7 blocks.