Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Betting Pick & Prediction 12/20/23

Betting on today’s Heat and Magic game? Catch the action at Amway Center in Orlando, FL, as the Magic hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on BSF. This Southeast division matchup has an over/under of 219.5 points, and the Magic are favored to win at home vs. the Heat.

MIAMI HEAT VS ORLANDO MAGIC BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +4.5

This game will be played at Amway Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, December 20th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-109 in favor of the Heat.
• Our projections have Bam Adebayo finishing with Bam Adebayo points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists.
• From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.6% and knocking down 14 threes.

Is a Road Win Possible for Miami?

In their last five games, the Heat are 3-2 and have an overall record of 15-12. As of now, they are 7th in the Eastern Conference and are in 2nd place in the Southeast division.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 11-15 so far this season. Miami has failed to cover the spread in three straight home games and are 3-10 ATS at home compared to 8-5 on the road.

The Heat’s offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 108 points versus the Timberwolves. During the game, they attempted 30 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 47.1%. Miami’s offense is currently one of the slower paced teams in the NBA, at 96.7 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 19th in attempts and 1st in three-point shooting percentage.

Miami’s defense has been playing well, ranking 10 in the NBA with 112.0 points allowed per game.

When it comes to forced turnovers, the Heat are forcing 12.4 per game, which is 8th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 30th in blocked shots at 3.1 per game.

Can Orlando Deliver Being Favored at Home?

With an overall record of 16-9, the Magic are 4th in the Eastern Conference and are leading the Southeast division. In their last ten games, they have gone 6-4 and are now set to face the Heat.

Orlando currently has an ATS record of 17-8, placing them above .500 against the spread. In their two most recent home games, Orlando has covered the spread and they are 11-2 ATS at home compared to 6-6 on the road.

Compared to their season average of 113.2 points per game, the Magic struggled in their previous game. Against the Celtics, the Magic scored 97 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 38.2%. Paolo Banchero led the scoring for the Magic, contributing 36 points. Additionally, Jalen Suggs chipped in with 13 points.

Coming into the game, the Magic’s defense has finished two straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 4 in the league at 109.9 points per game allowed.

Inside the arc, the Magic defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.7% and 36.2% from three-point territory.