Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Betting Pick & Prediction 1/21/24
This article was published on Jan 21, 2024. Today’s picks NBA picks

At 6:00 ET, the Magic (22-20) will host the Heat (24-18) in an Eastern Southeast division matchup. Orlando is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference, while Miami is 6th. The Heat are favored by a point on the road and are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. The over/under line for this game is 214.5.
This game will be played at the Kia Center in Orlando and can be seen on BSF. The Heat (-117) are 1st in the Southeast Division, while the Magic (-103) are 2nd. Both teams are looking to snap two-game losing streaks.
MIAMI HEAT VS ORLANDO MAGIC BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -1
This game will be played at Kia Center at 6:00 ET on Sunday, January 21st.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-107 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.5% and knocking down 14 threes.
Can The Heat Secure a Win at Orlando?
Miami is 19-21 against the spread this season, and they have failed to cover in their last two games. On the road, they are 11-9 ATS compared to 8-12 at home.
In their games as the favorite, the Heat are 11-12 ATS this season, and they have lost their last two games as the favorite. As the favorite, they are 18-7 straight up.
In their last game against the Hawks, the Heat lost 109-108 as 7-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 221.5, and Miami’s ATS record for the season is 19-21.
Miami has an O/U record of 18-24 this season, and the under has hit in their last five games. On average, their games have finished with 222.2 points.
For the season, the Heat are 24-18 and are currently 6th in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-6 compared to 18-12 against the East.
Today’s game against the Magic has an O/U line of 214.5. In their last three games, Miami has been favored by an average of 2.2 points per game.
Heading into their game against the Magic, the Heat are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, connecting on 37% of their attempts (6th). However, they have struggled to score on the road, averaging just 108.1 points per game (29th).
Overall, Miami is 26th in scoring this season at 111.4 points per game. They have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 38.1% of their games and are 21st in field goal percentage (46%).
When it comes to pace, the Heat are 29th in the league, averaging just 96.7 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 18th at 25.8 per game.
In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 5th in the NBA by allowing 110.8 points per game. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 12.6 turnovers per game, which is 12th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.3 rejections per game.
Will the Magic Exceed Expectations at Home?
Orlando has lost two straight games and is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a 22-20 record. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place.
For the season, the Magic are 19-23 on the over/under and their games have averaged 223.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 214.5.
In non-conference games, the Magic are 6-8 compared to 16-12 against the Eastern Conference. At home, they are 13-6 straight-up and 13-6 against the spread.
As the underdog this season, the Magic have gone 12-18 straight-up and 18-12 against the spread. Their ATS record as the underdog is 18-12, and they have failed to cover in two straight home games.
In their last game, the Magic lost to the 76ers by a score of 124-109. The O/U line for that game was 223 points, and Orlando was getting 5 points as the underdog.
At home, the Magic are averaging 115.3 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Overall, they are 25th in scoring at 111.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Orlando is 15th in the league at 98.8 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Magic are 19th in field goal percentage at 46%. From three-point range, they are last in the NBA at 34%.
Orlando has been getting to the free-throw line frequently, ranking 3rd in attempts at 26.2 per game. In terms of assists, they are 27th in the league at 24.6 per game.
So far, the Magic defense is giving up 111.4 points per contest, which has them sitting 8th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in four straight matchups. Orlando struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the 76ers, giving up 11. For the game, Philadelphia scored 124 points in the game.
