Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24

The Pacers (-138) are 2.5-point favorites against the Heat (+117) in a matchup between two teams on losing streaks. Indiana has lost two straight games and is 5-7 overall, while Miami has dropped three in a row and is 5-6 overall.

Tip-off for this Eastern Conference matchup is scheduled for 5:00 ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The game will be televised on FDSI.

MIAMI HEAT VS INDIANA PACERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +2.5

This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 5:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 149-106 in favor of the Heat.
• Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with Tyler Herro points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.8% and knocking down 18 threes.

Can Miami Stun the Crowd at Gainbridge Fieldhouse?

The Heat moved to 5-6 on the season with a 124-111 win over the Pacers on Friday. Miami, who entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game finished at 235, going over the pre-game line of 228.5.

After trailing 29-26 at the end of the 1st quarter, Miami went on a 10-0 run, closing the gap from 77-64 to 77-74. They took control by outscoring Indiana 35-26 in the 2nd quarter and 37-30 in the 3rd, leading 98-85 going into the 4th. The final quarter was even at 26-26.

The Heat shot 51.7% from the field in their win over the Pacers, hitting 15 threes at a 35.7% clip. Bam Adebayo led the way with 30 points, 11 rebounds, and 7 assists, shooting 58.8% and knocking down 2 threes at 66.7%.

Tyler Herro added 20 points, despite shooting just 37.5% from the field and 22.2% from deep. Kevin Love contributed 15 points, all in the 3rd quarter, hitting 3 threes at 75% efficiency.

Despite allowing the Pacers to shoot 51% from the field, the Heat held them to 111 points on Friday. Miami gave up 29 points in the 1st and 30 in the 3rd but limited Indiana to 26 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters.

The Heat allowed 14 three-pointers on 40% shooting but kept the Pacers off the free-throw line, where they went 9/11. Miami finished with 32 defensive rebounds, giving up 8 offensive boards, and recorded 16 steals.

Do the Pacers Stand a Chance at Home?

After a 124-111 loss to the Heat on Friday, the Pacers dropped to 5-7 for the season. Indiana, who were -4.5 point favorites at home, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total score of 235 points exceeded the O/U line of 228.5 by 6.5 points.

Indiana started strong, leading 29-26 after the 1st quarter, but a 10-0 run by the Heat shifted momentum. Miami outscored the Pacers 35-26 in the 2nd quarter and 37-30 in the 3rd, putting Indiana in a 98-85 hole heading into the 4th, where both teams scored 26 points.

Obi Toppin led the Pacers with 21 points on 80% shooting in Friday’s loss to the Heat, hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip. Tyrese Haliburton added 18 points, 8 assists, and 4 threes, shooting 44.4% from deep.

As a team, the Pacers shot 51.2% from the field and 40% from three, making 14 threes overall. T.J. McConnell contributed 14 points, and Pascal Siakam scored 10 of his 14 points in the 2nd quarter.

The Pacers struggled defensively in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, giving up 35 and 37 points, respectively, in their 124-111 loss to the Heat. Indiana allowed Miami to shoot 51% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Pacers held the Heat to 15 made threes on 35% shooting. Indiana sent Miami to the line 23 times, where they hit 19 free throws. The Pacers finished with 8 steals and 4 blocks.