Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick & Prediction for 12/26

The Miami Heat will visit the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena on Friday, December 26, 2025. Both teams have similar records as the regular season kicks off. The Heat hold a 15-15 record, while the Hawks stand at 15-16. This game is set to air on FDSS at 7:00 PM.
Miami, under the guidance of Coach Erik Spoelstra, is aiming to end a three-game losing streak. They are currently ranked 8th in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Southeast Division. On the other side, the Hawks, led by Coach Quin Snyder, hope to break their four-game losing streak. They are 9th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Southeast Division. Both teams are eager for a win to improve their standings early in the season.
Heat vs Hawks Game Day Info
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Venue: State Farm Arena
- Date: Friday, December 26, 2025
- Betting Odds: Heat +4.0 (-110), Hawks -4.0 (-112), Heat MoneyLine +142, Hawks MoneyLine -170
Miami Heat Team Preview
The Miami Heat have had a rough patch recently, losing their last three games. They fell to the Toronto Raptors, New York Knicks, and Boston Celtics. The Heat’s field goal percentages in these games were underwhelming, with a low of 39.2% against the Celtics.
Despite the losses, some Heat players have shown strong performances. Norman Powell leads the team with 23.7 points per game and shoots 47.8% from the field. Bam Adebayo contributes 18 points and 9.5 rebounds per game, but he is currently questionable due to back soreness.
In terms of team stats, the Heat rank ninth in points per game with 119.2. They excel in possessions per game, leading the league with 103.6. However, they need to tighten up their defense, as they allow 117.6 points per game, ranking 20th in the league.
Atlanta Hawks Team Preview
The Atlanta Hawks have faced tough games recently, losing three straight at home. They fell to the Chicago Bulls twice, first by 2 points and then by 3 points. Their game against the San Antonio Spurs ended in a 28-point loss, showing challenges on the defensive end.
Offensively, the Hawks are strong, ranking 11th in points per game with 118.8. They excel in assists, leading the league with 31.1 per game. However, their defense struggles, allowing 119.6 points per game, which ranks 24th.
Jalen Johnson leads the team, averaging 23.8 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 8.2 assists per game. Trae Young contributes with 19.2 points and 9.1 assists per game. Kristaps Porzingis, another key player, is currently out due to illness, impacting the team’s depth.
BTB Betting Pick
The Hawks are favored by 4 points against the Heat. The Heat have a strong offense, ranking 9th in points per game and 1st in possessions per game. With the Heat’s ability to score and keep up the pace, taking the Heat +4.0 seems like a good pick. The projected score is Hawks 122, Heat 119.
The total for the game is set at 245. Both teams have high-scoring offenses, but they also allow a lot of points. The Hawks rank 24th in points allowed, while the Heat are 20th. With these stats, the game is likely to go over the total. The projected total score is 241, slightly under the line, but considering the teams’ defensive stats, the over is a reasonable pick.