Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Betting Pick & Prediction for 1/4

NFL Game preview

The Miami Dolphins travel to Gillette Stadium to play the New England Patriots in Week 18 of the 2025 season. The game is set for Sunday, January 4, 2026, at 4:25 PM and will be broadcast on FOX. Fans should prepare for a very cold day with overcast clouds and a light breeze.

Miami, led by head coach Mike McDaniel, holds a 7-9 record for the season. They have struggled on the road with a 2-5 record. Meanwhile, the Patriots, coached by Mike Vrabel, have a strong 13-3 record and are 5-3 at home. The odds favor New England, with a moneyline of -637 and a spread of -10.5.

Miami Dolphins Team Preview

The Miami Dolphins have had a mixed end to their season. They won against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-17, despite having fewer first downs. Quinn Ewers led the offense with 172 passing yards and two touchdowns.

Earlier, the Dolphins faced a tough game against the Cincinnati Bengals, losing 45-21. Their defense struggled, allowing 302 passing yards. De’Von Achane was a standout on offense with 81 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Injury issues have been a concern for Miami. Key players like Tyreek Hill and Minkah Fitzpatrick are on the injured list. The team’s depth will be tested in their next game as they look to end the season strong.

Dolphins vs Patriots Game Day Info

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA USA — Outdoor Field
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Betting Odds: Dolphins Moneyline +464, Patriots Moneyline -637, Dolphins Spread +10.5 (-110), Patriots Spread -10.5 (-110), Total Over 45.5 (-112), Total Under 45.5 (-109)

New England Patriots Team Preview

The New England Patriots have shown strong performances in recent games. They defeated the New York Jets 42-10, with quarterback Drake Maye throwing five touchdowns. Rhamondre Stevenson added to the offense with solid rushing yards.

Against the Baltimore Ravens, the Patriots won 28-24. Drake Maye threw for 380 yards and two touchdowns. Stefon Diggs contributed significantly with 138 receiving yards.

In a close game, the Patriots lost to the Buffalo Bills 35-31. TreVeyon Henderson ran for 148 yards and two touchdowns. Drake Maye struggled with only 155 passing yards and one interception.

BTB Betting Pick

The Dolphins are getting +10.5 points against the Patriots. Miami’s offense ranks 21st in scoring, while New England’s defense is 21st in points allowed. With a projected score of Patriots 24, Dolphins 17, taking the Dolphins to cover the spread seems reasonable.

The total for the game is set at 45.5. Miami’s defense is strong, ranking 10th in points allowed, and New England’s offense is 28th in scoring. A projected total score of 41 points suggests taking the under is a good choice.