Mercer Bears vs Chattanooga Mocs Betting Pick & Prediction 2/28/24
The Bears and Mocs are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mocs will host the game at McKenzie Arena in Chattanooga, TN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 145.5 points, and Chattanooga is favored by -8 to win at home against Mercer.
MERCER BEARS VS CHATTANOOGA MOCS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Mercer Bears +8
This game will be played at McKenzie Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.
WHY BET THE MERCER BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Mocs.
- Even though we have Chattanooga winning straight-up, we like Mercer at +8.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.
Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Mercer?
After their 86-72 victory over UNCG, Mercer has won three straight games and now sits at 14-15 overall. The Bears’ record in Southern Conference play is 7-9 compared to 7-6 in non-conference action.
So far this season, Mercer has been an underdog in 16 of their 29 games, going 6-10 in those contests. For the year, they have a road record of 4-9, including a 3-7 mark in their last 10 games away from home.
As the underdog, Mercer has been solid vs. the spread this season with a 9-7 record. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-7-1, but they have gone 4-1 vs. the spread in their last 5 games as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Mercer games is 14-10-2, and the average point total in their games is 141.7. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 145.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 165 points, and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.
In their recent matchup, the Mercer offense ended with 86 points against UNCG. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.6% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Bears have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 203rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 218th in percentage and 297th in three-pointers made.
So far, the Bears’ defense is ranked 151st in the country at 71.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.2 threes per game vs. Chattanooga. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.9%.
Will Chattanooga Make it Happen at Home?
Chattanooga enters this game with a 19-10 overall record and an 11-5 record in Southern Conference play. They are 9-3 at home this season, and their average scoring margin in those games is +8.8 points per game. The Mocs have won their last two games at home and are 8-2 in their last 10 at home.
Chattanooga is favored by 8 points in this game, and they have been the favorite in 18 of their 29 games this season. They are 13-5 when favored, and they are coming off a 71-62 loss to Citadel.
As the favorite, Chattanooga has gone 10-8 vs. the spread this season and is 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Mocs are 7-5 vs. the spread this season and are 6-3 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.
Chattanooga’s over/under record this year is 14-13 and today’s line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (148.6). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3. Over their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their over/under record is 5-5.
The Chattanooga offense is coming off a game where they scored 62 points against Citadel. They posted a field goal percentage of 38.3% and connected on 12 threes. In terms of offense, the Mocs have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 82nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 94th in percentage and 5th in three-pointers made.
On defense, Chattanooga is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.1 points per game. So far, the Chattanooga defense is giving up an average of 9.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.3 times per game (541st).