Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 3/27/25

At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (-457) will host the Grizzlies (+351) in a Western Conference matchup. Oklahoma City is favored by 9.5 points and has won 7 straight games. The over/under line is set at 237.5.

This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on FDSO. Memphis is 5th in the West with a record of 44-28, while the Thunder are 1st in the conference at 60-12.

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK

The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +9.5

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, March 27th.

WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 128-127 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Our projections have Jaren Jackson Jr. finishing with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.1% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can the Grizzlies Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Memphis improved to 44-28 with a dominant 140-103 win over the Jazz on Tuesday. Entering the game as -11.5 point favorites, the Grizzlies covered the spread and the total score of 243 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 240.5.

After the Jazz went on a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 51-45 to 61-45, Memphis responded by winning the 2nd quarter 35-30. They then took control in the 3rd, outscoring Utah 41-17, and continued their dominance in the 4th, winning the quarter 35-21.

The Grizzlies’ offense was firing on all cylinders in their 140-103 win over the Jazz, shooting 53.1% from the field and hitting 20 threes at a 44.4% clip. Desmond Bane led the way with 21 points, 12 of which came in the 2nd quarter.

Jaren Jackson Jr. added 19 points, with 10 in the opening period, while Scotty Pippen Jr. contributed 16 points and 10 assists, shooting 87.5% from the field. Jay Huff and Zach Edey each scored 12 of their 15 points in the 3rd and 4th quarters, respectively.

Despite a slow start defensively, the Grizzlies tightened up in the 3rd quarter, allowing just 17 points to help secure a 140-103 win over the Jazz. Memphis gave up 35 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd but bounced back by holding Utah to 21 points in the 4th. Overall, the Grizzlies limited the Jazz to 43% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Jazz hit 17 threes at a 40% clip. Memphis sent Utah to the line 22 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Grizzlies controlled the boards, allowing just 4 offensive rebounds, while also recording 7 steals and 4 blocks.

Will Oklahoma City Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

The Thunder improved to 60-12 this season with a 121-105 win over the Kings on Tuesday. Oklahoma City, favored by 8.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total score of 226 points fell just under the 228.5-point line.

Oklahoma City took control early, leading 64-42 at halftime. The Kings went on a 16-0 run to close the gap, but the Thunder responded by outscoring Sacramento 32-24 in the final quarter to seal the win.

The Thunder’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their win over the Kings, shooting 52.4% from the field and hitting 19 threes at a 59.4% clip. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 32 points, while Chet Holmgren added 18 and Alex Caruso contributed 15 points, knocking down 2 threes at 66.7%.

Gilgeous-Alexander did most of his damage in the 3rd quarter, scoring 11 points, while Caruso and Isaiah Joe stepped up in the 4th, with Caruso scoring 7 points and Joe adding 6 of his 14 points in the final period.

Even with a rough 3rd quarter, the Thunder’s defense held the Kings to just 105 points on Tuesday. They gave up 21 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters and allowed 24 in the 4th. Overall, Oklahoma City held Sacramento to 40% shooting from the field.

However, the Thunder struggled to defend the three, with the Kings hitting 23 threes at a 48% clip. Oklahoma City sent Sacramento to the line 12 times, where they made 8 free throws. The Thunder also recorded 46 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 6 blocks.