McNeese State Cowboys vs Texas A&M-Commerce Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 1/6/24
The Cowboys and Lions are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lions will host the game at The Field House in Commerce, TX. The Cowboys are the favorites in this Southland conference matchup the against the Lions. The over/under for the game is set at 135.5 points.
MCNEESE STATE COWBOYS VS TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions +10
This game will be played at The Field House at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lions.
- Not only will Texas A&M-Commerce pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +10.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Will McNeese State Come Through as Road Favorites?
McNeese State comes into today’s game with an overall record of 11-2 and are favored by 10 points over Texas A&M-Commerce. So far this season, the Cowboys have gone 4-2 on the road and have an average scoring margin of +7.2 points per game on the road.
In their last game, McNeese State took down Michigan by a score of 87-76. Over their last ten road games, the Cowboys have gone 6-4.
McNeese State has been solid vs. the spread this year, going 7-2. On the road, the Cowboys have an ATS mark of 5-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, McNeese State is just 4-6 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for McNeese State sits at 4-5. Across their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1. Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (142.3). Currently, the average scoring total in their games this year is 140.8 points.
Coming off their recent game, the McNeese State offense tallied 87 points in a matchup against Michigan. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.6%, and they made 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is Shahada Wells, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 19.4, while Christian Shumate also maintains a PPG average of 12.5 leading up to the game.
So far this season, the McNeese State defense has been performing well, ranking 5th in the country at 59.2 points allowed per contest. In today’s game vs. Texas A&M-Commerce, the McNeese State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, McNeese State made 19 free-throws vs. the Cowboys.
Does Texas A&M-Commerce Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?
After a tough loss to TCU, Texas A&M-Commerce comes into today’s game as 10-point underdogs. So far this season, the Lions are 2-1 at home and have an average scoring margin of +1.0 points per game.
Over their last 10 games at home, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone just 5-5. In their last game, the Lions were blown out by TCU by a score of 77-42.
So far this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has an ATS record of 4-6, including a mark of 2-1 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Lions have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Texas A&M-Commerce games is 3-7. Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (143.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 167 points.
Texas A&M-Commerce offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 42 points against TCU. In that game, they made 2/22 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 32.2%. Jerome Brewer Jr. is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 13.6 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Kalen Williams brings a PPG average of 13.5 into the game.
Texas A&M-Commerce’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.5 threes per game vs. McNeese State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.7%.