Massachusetts Minutemen vs Saint Louis Billikens Betting Pick & Prediction 1/27/24
The Minutemen and Billikens are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Billikens will host the game at Chaifetz Arena in St. Louis, MO. In this Atlantic 10 matchup, Massachusetts is favored by -4.5 vs. Saint Louis. The over/under for the game is 156.5 points.
MASSACHUSETTS MINUTEMEN VS SAINT LOUIS BILLIKENS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Saint Louis Billikens +4.5
This game will be played at Chaifetz Arena at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.
WHY BET THE SAINT LOUIS BILLIKENS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Billikens.
- Not only will Saint Louis pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Will Massachusetts Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Massachusetts comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 16 of their 19 games this season. They are 11-5 in those games. On the road, the Minutemen are 2-4 this season, and they come in on a three-game losing streak away from home.
Overall, Massachusetts is 12-7 this season, including a 3-4 record in Atlantic 10 play. Their average scoring margin on the road is +0.5, compared to +13.2 at home.
Against the spread, Massachusetts has gone 13-6 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 4-2 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-4 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Massachusetts games is 11-8 and today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (150.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points and during their last 10 games, their over/under record is 4-6.
In their latest game, Massachusetts offense put up 77 points against Saint Joseph’s. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.6% and made 5 threes. Coming into the game, the Minutemen offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 31%. On average, they get up 20.4 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 16.2 made free-throws.
So far, the Minutemen’s defense is ranked 158th in the country at 72.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Massachusetts’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.0% this season.
Can the Billikens Offense Score Enough at Home?
After losing their last three games, the Billikens are looking to get back on track as they face UMass. So far, Saint Louis is 8-11 this season and 1-5 in Atlantic 10 play. At home, the Billikens are 6-5 compared to 1-6 on the road.
Over their last ten games at home, Saint Louis has gone 5-5. In their most recent game, the Billikens lost to Davidson by a score of 84-61. On the year, they have been the underdog in 12 of their 19 games, going 3-9 in those contests.
Against the spread, Saint Louis has an overall record of 8-10 this season. At home, they are 5-6 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Billikens have gone 6-6 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Saint Louis has an ATS mark of 6-4.
Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Saint Louis’ games this season (146.3). So far, 14 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 141 points.
Coming off their recent game, the Saint Louis offense tallied 61 points in a matchup against Davidson. Their field goal percentage for the game was 37.5%, and they made 4 threes. The top scorer for the Billikens was Bradley Ezewiro with 20 points, while Terremce Hargrove Jr. also added 14 to the scoreboard.
So far, the Billikens’ defense is ranked 257th in the country at 77.1 points per contest. So far, the Saint Louis defense is giving up an average of 8.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (500th).