Marist Red Foxes vs Fairfield Stags Betting Pick & Prediction 1/7/24

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Red Foxes and Stags. The game is starting at 2:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Stags at Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, CT. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 133.5 points, and the Stags are favored to win at home against the Red Foxes.

MARIST RED FOXES VS FAIRFIELD STAGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Fairfield Stags -2.5

This game will be played at Leo D. Mahoney Arena at 2:00 ET on Sunday, January 7th.

WHY BET THE FAIRFIELD STAGS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Stags.
• Not only will Fairfield pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Marist comes into today’s game as the underdog, and they have an overall record of 7-4. So far, they have gone 4-3 on the road and have an average scoring margin of +.9 points per game on the road.

In their last game, the Red Foxes took on Lehigh and lost by a score of 65-58. Over their last ten road games, Marist is 6-4.

Marist has been very good against the spread this season, going 9-2 overall. Their ATS mark is even better on the road, where they are 6-1. Over their last 10 road games, the Red Foxes are 8-2 vs. the spread.

Marist’s over/under record for the season is 2-9, and the average scoring in their games is 127.2 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (132.9). So far, 9 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 122 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 2-8.

The Marist offense is coming off a game in which they scored 58 points vs. Lehigh. Overall their field goal percentage was 34.9% while connecting on 6 threes. Leading Marist in scoring vs. Lehigh was Josh Pascarelli with his 22 points. Jaden Daughtry also added 14 points for the Red Foxes.

At present, the Red Foxes’ defense is nationally ranked 9th, allowing 60.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.9 threes per game vs. Fairfield. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.0%.

Does Fairfield Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

Fairfield comes into today’s matchup with an overall record of 8-6 and have won seven straight games. In their last game, they took down Siena by a score of 93-69.

So far this season, the Stags are 2-2 at home and have an average scoring margin of +1.0 points per game at home. Over their last 10 games at home, Fairfield is 5-5.

When looking at Fairfield’s ATS record this season, they are currently 6-7. As the favorite, their ATS mark is 3-2 this year and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 4-5-1. At home, the Stags are 1-3 vs. the spread this season and their last 10 home ATS record is 2-6-1.

Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Fairfield’s games this season (143.2). So far, 11 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 133.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 157 points.

Fairfield is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 93 points vs. Siena. This figure is more than their season average of 75.4 points per game. Brycen Goodine is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14.4. Meanwhile, Jalen Leach also brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

Currently, the Stags’ defense holds the 142nd rank in the nation, allowing 70.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Fairfield’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.9% this season.