LSU Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/24
Planning on watching today’s Tigers and Commodores game? Catch the action at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville, TN, as the Commodores hosts this showdown at 3:30 ET on SECN. LSU come into this Southeastern conference matchup as the -3.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 143.5 points.
LSU TIGERS VS VANDERBILT COMMODORES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +3.5
This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) at 3:30 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.
WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Commodores.
- Not only will Vanderbilt pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Is a Win at Nashville Possible for the Tigers?
LSU comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 13 of their 28 games this season. So far, they have gone 11-2 as the favorite. On the road, the Tigers are just 3-7 this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -7.2 points per game.
In their last game, LSU was able to pick up a 67-66 win over Georgia. Over their last 10 games, the Tigers have gone 3-7 on the road, and their overall record this season is 15-13. In Southeastern Conference play, they are 7-8.
LSU has an ATS record of 12-16 this season and they are 6-7 vs the spread when they are the favorite. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers have gone 4-6 vs the spread. On the road this year, LSU has an ATS mark of 5-5 and they are 2-1 vs the spread in their last 3 road contests.
LSU’s over/under record for the season sits at 14-14 and today’s line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (149). So far, 13 of their games have finished with less than 143.5 points, including their last three games (OU record of 1-2 in their last three games).
Coming off their recent game, the LSU offense tallied 67 points in a matchup against Georgia. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.8%, and they made 9 threes. The top scorer for the Tigers was Jordan Wright with 17 points, while Will Baker also added 12 to the scoreboard.
At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 239th, allowing 74.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.6 threes per game vs. Vanderbilt. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.9%.
Can the Commodores Grab a Win at Home?
At home this season, Vanderbilt has a record of 7-11. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games at home and 2-3 in their last five. For the season, they have been an underdog in 20 of their 28 games, going 3-17 in those contests.
Coming off an 85-82 win over Arkansas, Vanderbilt is 8-20 overall and 3-12 in Southeastern Conference play. On the season, they are being outscored by an average of 4.6 points per game at home.
As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone 9-10-1 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS mark is 8-10 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Commodores have an ATS record of 5-5. In their last three home games, Vanderbilt is 1-2 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 9-19. On average, their games have finished with 141.5 points, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line of 142.3. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points, and their over/under record during that span is 1-2.
In their latest game, Vanderbilt offense put up 85 points against Arkansas. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50.9% and made 4 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ezra Manjon who comes into today’s matchup averaging 14.2. Tyrin Lawrence also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.4.
The Commodores’ defense is presently ranked 244th nationally, allowing an average of 74.7 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.7 threes per game vs. LSU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 38.0%.