Loyola Marymount Lions vs San Francisco Dons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/28/24

The Lions and Dons are set to face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Dons will host the game at War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, CA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 140.5 points, and San Francisco is favored by -10.5 to win at home against Loyola Marymount.

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS VS SAN FRANCISCO DONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Loyola Marymount Lions +10.5

This game will be played at War Memorial Gymnasium at 10:00 ET on Saturday, December 28th.

WHY BET THE LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-71 in favor of the Dons.
  • Even though we have San Francisco winning straight-up, we like Loyola Marymount at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Does Loyola Marymount Have What it Takes on the Road?

Loyola Marymount Lions Recent Game/Games

Loyola Marymount improved to 7-4 on the season with an 85-69 home win over North Alabama on Sunday, December 22nd. The Lions entered the game as -6.5 favorites and covered the spread, while the total points of 154 exceeded the O/U line of 144.5.

LMU led 41-31 at halftime and added 44 points in the 2nd half, allowing 38 points to North Alabama after the break.

Loyola Marymount put up 85 points in their latest game, shooting 50.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 61.5%. They connected on 62.5% of their two-point attempts and hit 39.4% from beyond the arc, making 13 threes on 33 attempts. The Lions also shot 75% from the free-throw line, going 6-for-8.

Caleb Stone-Carrawell led the way with 28 points, hitting 5-of-8 from three and shooting 64.7% overall. Jacari Lane added 20 points, though he missed all four of his three-point attempts. Jevon Porter contributed 14 points and 9 rebounds, along with 8 assists, while Daniel Ortiz chipped in 13 points, making 3-of-9 from deep.

Despite giving up 69 points, Loyola Marymount’s defense struggled, allowing their opponent to shoot 50% from the field, including 62% on two-point attempts. The Lions also gave up 13 threes on 33 attempts, a 39% shooting rate from beyond the arc.

From the free-throw line, Loyola Marymount’s opponent went 6/8, hitting 75% of their shots. The Lions also allowed 10 offensive rebounds in the game.

Does San Francisco Have a Shot at a Home Win?

San Francisco Dons Recent Game/Games

The Dons improved to 9-3 on the season with a 71-67 home win over Montana on Saturday. San Francisco entered the game as -17.5 favorites but didn’t cover the spread.

San Francisco led 36-26 at halftime but allowed 41 points in the 2nd half while scoring 35. The total points for the game were 138, falling short of the 147.5 O/U line.

San Francisco put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 43.8% from the field and hitting 38.5% from beyond the arc, connecting on 10 of 26 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 54.2%, and they made 19 of 31 free throws, shooting 61.3% from the line.

Marcus Williams led the way with 25 points, shooting 72.7% from the field. Joe Pridgen added 21 points and 10 rebounds, while Tyrone Riley IV and Malik Thomas each contributed 17 points, with Thomas hitting 75% of his threes.

San Francisco’s defense gave up 67 points in their last game, allowing the opposing team to shoot 43% from the field, with a 50% success rate on two-point attempts (11/22).

From beyond the arc, their opponents hit 10 of 26 threes, shooting 38%. San Francisco also sent them to the line 31 times, where they made 19 free throws (61%). The Dons limited offensive rebounds, giving up just 6.