Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

Western Kentucky is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against Louisiana Tech, with the point spread set at -13.5 in their favor. The game is scheduled for 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th, at Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green and will be broadcast on CBSS. The over/under line is currently 52.5 points. The money line odds are -556 for Western Kentucky and +398 for Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs enter the game with a 3-6 record, while the Hilltoppers are 7-2 on the season.

LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS VS WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +13.5

This game will be played at Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS:

• We have the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers winning this one by a score of 31 to 18
• Even though we like the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at +13.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 52.5 points

Will The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Louisiana Tech enters Week 12 with a 3-6 record, holding the 118th spot in our power rankings. They have a 0.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Bulldogs are 2-0, but they’ve gone 0-3 on the road this season.

Against the spread, Louisiana Tech is 3-2, with a 2-1 record on the road. They’ve been favored in three games, going 1-2 ATS as the favorite, while they are 2-0 ATS as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 52.5 points. Louisiana Tech’s games have averaged an over/under line of 50.2 points, and their over/under record is 2-3, with games averaging 45.7 points.

Louisiana Tech’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 23 points per game, which ranks 74th nationally. They are 128th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their rushing attack has been particularly weak, averaging only 104.2 yards per game.

Quarterback Evan Bullock has thrown for 1,452 yards and has a 66.3% completion rate. He has 12 touchdowns and just two interceptions, with a passer rating of 106. Tru Edwards leads the receiving corps with 708 yards and six touchdowns on 52 catches.

Louisiana Tech’s defense, ranked 39th nationally, has allowed 22.7 points per game this season. In their recent game, a 44-37 loss to Jacksonville State, they gave up 44 points, including four rushing touchdowns. The defense allowed 392 total yards, with 192 rushing yards on 58 attempts and 200 passing yards, while also securing one interception.

On average, Louisiana Tech has given up 122.8 rushing yards per game (44th) and 191.2 passing yards, ranking 41st. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 56.9% of their passes, with a passer rating of 81.5 against the Bulldogs’ defense.

Are The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Western Kentucky enters Week 12 with a 7-2 record, and they are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible. They have a 38.6% chance of winning Conference USA. At home, the Hilltoppers are 2-0, and they’ve been favored in three of their nine games this season.

Against the spread, Western Kentucky is 5-2, with a perfect 2-0 mark at home. They’ve covered as the favorite twice (2-1) and have a 3-1 record ATS as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +8.2 points per game.

Their over/under record is 4-3, with an average line of 55.2 points. This week’s line is set at 52.5 points, and their games have averaged 52.4 points per contest.

Western Kentucky’s offense is averaging 30.3 points per game, placing them 40th in the nation as they head into week 12. They are ranked 46th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 23rd with 280.8 yards per game. They are 28th in passing completions, averaging 22.1 per game, and they rank 12th in completion percentage at 68.2%. Their third-down conversion rate is 43.4%.

Quarterback Caden Veltkamp has thrown for 1,950 yards and has a passer rating of 114. He has completed 70% of his passes, with 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Elijah Young leads the rushing attack with 563 yards, averaging 4 yards per carry. Kisean Johnson is the top receiver with 645 yards and five touchdowns on 46 catches.

Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 22.1 points per game this season, ranking 35th nationally. In their latest game, they gave up 28 points but also forced two interceptions. The defense allowed 460 total yards, including 331 rushing yards on 55 attempts, while holding New Mexico State to 129 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 185.2 rushing yards per game against Western Kentucky, ranking them 137th in the nation. The defense has faced the 27th fewest passing attempts, allowing 200.4 passing yards per game and a 58.8% completion rate.