Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24
At 4:10 from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an NL West matchup between the Dodgers and Padres. Los Angeles comes in with a record of 27-14, while the Padres are 21-21. Yu Darvish will start for the Padres, and he is facing off against Walker Buehler for the Dodgers.
Currently, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Dodgers are the road favorite on the money line at -130. Looking at the odds for a Padres win, they are sitting at +109. You can catch this one on SNLA.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline +109
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, May 12th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a four-run 6th inning for the Dodgers’ offense, they cruised to a 5-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -148 on the money line.
James Paxton started for the Dodgers and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued zero walks. On the other side, Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Freddie Freeman and Teoscar Hernandez each homered for the Dodgers’ offense. Freeman, Hernandez, and Fernando Tatis Jr. each had two hits for their respective teams.
Dodgers Records & Stats
Los Angeles is 27-14 overall this season, and they lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 8-5 in division games this season and have won five straight series. So far, they are 12-5 as the road favorite and 26-13 as the favorite overall.
The Dodgers have been really good in night games this season, going 18-7, and they are 8-2 in their last ten games overall. They have been really good at home, putting up a record of 15-8.
When the Dodgers are on the road, they are a solid bet on the run line, going 11-7 so far this season. Their average run margin in road games is +2.2, which is slightly higher than their overall average run margin of +1.9. They are also a solid bet as the favorite, going 21-18 on the run line, but have only been the underdog twice, going 1-1.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have played 10 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and the over has hit in 13 of their 21 games overall. The Dodgers have gone under the total in three straight games, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.
Walker Buehler and the Dodgers are on the road to take on the Padres. Buehler is coming off a start where he went 4 innings and gave up 3 earned runs on 6 hits, but he did strike out 4 batters. He did give up a home run in that outing.
As a team, the Dodgers are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in batting average, but they also have the best on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league. As a team, they are 2nd in home runs and have the best team OPS in the league.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers’ top power threats this season, as they are both tied for the team lead with 11 homers. Ohtani is also batting a team-best .352, and Hernandez comes in at .258. Over his last five games, Hernandez has three homers and eight RBIs while batting .312. Freddie Freeman has also been hot of late, going 7/16 with two homers over his last five games.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is right at .500 with a record of 21-21 heading into today’s game vs. the Dodgers. The Padres are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and have an 11-10 record in divisional matchups. The Padres have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 7-4-2 this season.
The Padres are just 9-13 at home this season but have been much better on the road at 12-8. So far, they have been the favorite in 24 games, going 13-11 in those contests. As the underdog, the Padres are 8-10 this season.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet this season, as the Padres are 23-19 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 16-4 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 7-15 against the run line. The Padres have an average run differential of +0.3 runs per game this season.
Despite the Padres’ recent under streak, the over has hit in 8 of their 12 games with an O/U line of 8.5 this season. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their O/U record is 21-20 on the season. Their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs, and only 16.7% of their games have had a higher line than today’s 8.5.
Yu Darvish will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that May 6th outing vs. the Cubs, he went five innings and gave up just three hits. Darvish has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .205 off the right-hander this season. Darvish has made one quality start this year and is averaging 8.02 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of two homers.
Over his last eight games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone 12/35 (.343) with one home run and four RBIs. This has improved his season batting line to .256, and he is currently leading the Padres with seven homers. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, as they have six homers apiece.
Profar comes into the game with a team-high 27 RBIs and is batting .321 for the season. Cronenworth is right behind him in terms of RBIs, as he has driven in 26 runs while batting .286. The Padres are 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league, and are one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league.