Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24

At 7:10 PM ET in Boston, the Angels and Red Sox will square off at Fenway Park. The pitching matchup features Reid Detmers for the Angels against Tanner Houck for the Red Sox. The weather forecast is 60 degrees with overcast clouds and a 16 MPH wind.

Both teams are hovering around .500 on the season, with the Angels at 6-6 and the Red Sox at 7-6. The oddsmakers have this game as a close one, with the Red Sox slightly favored at -117 compared to the Angels at -102. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, with the over slightly favored at -115.

BOSTON RED SOX VS LOS ANGELES ANGELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -117

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, April 12th.

HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Angels Records & Stats

Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 4-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Angels were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. Things started off well for the Angels, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rays scored three times in the top of the first.

José Soriano got the start for the Angels and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. The Angels also wasted a big game from Jo Adell, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.

After dropping two straight games to the Rays, the Angels head to Boston to take on the Red Sox. The Angels are 6-6 on the year and are currently in 2nd place in the AL West, just 0.5 games behind the Rangers for the division lead. They have a road record of 4-2 and have won four straight games away from home.

So far, the Angels have played three series this season, winning one of them. They took two of three from the Marlins and then dropped two of three to the Red Sox and Rays.

When the Angels are on the road, they have a run line record of 4-2 and have covered the run line in four straight games. Their average run differential on the road is -0.2 runs per game, but they have been able to cover the run line in four of their six road games this season.

Los Angeles Angels games have gone over the over/under line in 7 of 12 games this season, and the average combined runs in their games is 9.8. 75% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9-run line, and their games have gone over the line in 1 of 3 games with a 9-run line.

Reid Detmers is on the mound for the Angels as they take on the Red Sox. This is his second start of the season, and he picked up a win in his first outing, which came at home vs. Boston. In that start, he went 6 innings, giving up just 1 earned run and striking out 12.

When looking at the Angels’ offensive projections for today’s game, we see that Mike Trout has the highest home run projection on the team and the 8th highest in the league today. Taylor Ward has the 2nd highest hits projection on the team and the 21st highest in the league. Mickey Moniak has the highest hits projection on the team and the 18th highest in the league, as well as the 2nd best home run projection on the team and the 9th best in the league.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Orioles, the Red Sox closed out the series with a 9-4 loss. Boston was the slight favorite at +110 on the money line. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Orioles scored three times in the top of the first.

Garrett Whitlock got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up six earned runs on nine hits. Connor Wong had a big game at the plate, going 1/1 with a homer, but the Red Sox’s offense scored their other three runs in the 1st inning.

After being swept by the Orioles, the Red Sox are looking to get back on track as they host the Angels. Boston is currently 4th in the AL East, tied with the Rays, three games behind the Orioles. The Red Sox have struggled at home this season, going 0-3, but they have been much better on the road, going 7-3.

Overall, Boston is 7-6, and they have lost three straight games. They have been favored in eight of their games this season, going 5-1 in those contests.

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road than at home. They are 8-5 overall, but just 0-3 at Fenway Park. They have covered the run line in eight of 10 games on the road, and their average run margin in those games is +2.6.

The Red Sox have seen their last two games go over the total, and their over/under record for the season is 7-5. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs. The Red Sox have played 12 games this season with an over/under line set at under 9 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 1-0.

Through his first two starts of the season, Tanner Houck has been lights out. He’s coming off a 6-inning outing against the Angels in which he struck out 7 and only allowed 4 hits. In his first start of the season, he went 6 innings and struck out 10 against the Athletics.

For the Red Sox, we like Triston Casas to have a big game at the plate. He has the 2nd highest home run projection in the league today and his total hits projection is 3rd best in the league. Pablo Reyes is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, as his projection is 2nd best in the league. Rafael Devers is also a strong play, as his home run projection is 4th best in the league today.