Longwood Lancers vs Morgan State Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 12/3/23

Betting on today’s Lancers and Bears game? Catch the action at Hill Field House in Baltimore, MD, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lancers are the favorites in this non-conference matchup against the Bears. The over/under for the game is set at 146.5 points.
LONGWOOD LANCERS VS MORGAN STATE BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Morgan State Bears +10
This game will be played at Hill Field House at 2:00 ET on Sunday, December 3rd.
WHY BET THE MORGAN STATE BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-69 in favor of the Bears.
- Not only will Morgan State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +10.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.
Can Longwood Secure a Road Victory?
Longwood has a record of 7-1 and will be playing their 9th game of the season. In their last three road games, including one from last year, Longwood is 2-1. As of now, Longwood has a 4-2 record vs. the spread heading into today’s game. In their previous five games, they have gone 2-2 vs. the spread.
Through eight games, Longwood has an over/under record of 5-1-0 with their games averaging a combined 143.3 points per game so far. The Lancers’ last five games have culminated with an average of 142 points per game and an over/under record of 3-1.
In their latest game, Longwood offense put up 69 points against Bethune-Cookman. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.8% and made 7 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Johnathan Massie, who holds an average of 13.5 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Walyn Napper is averaging 13.5 points per game this season.
So far this season, the Longwood defense has been performing well, ranking 15th in the country at 61.4 points allowed per contest. The Longwood defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 48 points and allowed Bethune-Cookman to connect on 7 threes.
Taking a Look at the Bears Chances at Home
As they prepare to face Longwood, Morgan State comes into their 10th game with a record of 2-7. In their previous five games at home, including last year, Morgan State has gone 4-1. As of today’s game, Morgan State has a 1-5-1 record against the spread this season. Looking back at last season, Morgan State was 4-7 vs. the spread in their home games.
Morgan State’s games have, on average, featured 151.6 points per game leading to an over/under record of 4-3-0. Their average over/under line is currently 148.6 points so far. The Bears have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 144 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.
Against High Point, the Morgan State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 69.7 points per game. They scored 59 points and posted a field goal percentage of 38.7% in the game. Offensively, the Bears have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 289th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 290th in percentage and 292nd in three-pointers made.
Facing Longwood, Morgan State aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 80.4 points allowed per game (227th). Against High Point in their most recent game, the Morgan State defense gave up a total of 77 points while allowing High Point to hit 48% of their shots.