Long Beach State Beach vs California-San Diego Tritons Betting Pick & Prediction 1/11/24

The Beach and Tritons are set to face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Tritons will host the game at LionTree Arena in San Diego, CA. The odds for this Big West conference game currently have the Tritons as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 155.5 points.

LONG BEACH STATE BEACH VS CALIFORNIA-SAN DIEGO TRITONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Long Beach State Beach +4.5

This game will be played at LionTree Arena at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.

WHY BET THE LONG BEACH STATE BEACH:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 81-65 in favor of the Beach.
• Not only will Long Beach State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 155.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Do the Beach Have What it Takes in San Diego?

Long Beach State enters tonight’s game against California-San Diego as a 4.5-point underdog. So far this season, the Beach have been the underdog in four games, going 3-1 in those contests.

Over their last 10 road games, Long Beach State has gone 7-3, including a current four-game win streak. On the season, the Beach have gone 7-4 on the road, compared to 2-1 at home.

As the underdog, Long Beach State has been a perfect 4-0 vs. the spread this season. Their overall ATS mark is 7-7, but they have gone 6-5 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Beach has a solid 6-3-1 ATS record.

Long Beach State’s over/under record this season is 9-5 and the average scoring total in their games is 156 points. Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is similar to their average OU line of 153.2. So far, 8 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 160 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Long Beach State’s offense scored 83 points against UC Riverside. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50%, and they went 21/36 from the free-throw line. One area that the Long Beach State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 13th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 46%.

Currently, the Beach’s defense holds the 263rd rank in the nation, allowing 76.9 points per game. The Long Beach State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 75 points and allowed UC Riverside to connect on 2 threes.

Can the Tritons Please their Home Crowd?

California-San Diego enters this game as the favorite, as they have gone 5-1 in their six games as the favorite this season. Overall, they are 9-6, including a three-game winning streak, and they are 3-0 in Big West play.

At home, the Tritons are 4-2 this season, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +6.7, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three games at home.

As the favorite this season, UC San Diego has gone 5-1 vs. the spread and they have been even better at home with a 5-1 ATS mark. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tritons are 7-3 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for California-San Diego is 4-8-1, and today’s over/under line of 155.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.2). Over their last three games, their average scoring total is 141 points, and their OU record during that span is 2-1. So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line.

In their recent matchup, the California-San Diego offense ended with 76 points against Cal State Fullerton. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 60.4% and made 9 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Bryce Pope, who is averaging 18.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Francis Nwaokorie also maintains a PPG average of 12.4 heading into game.

This season, the California-San Diego defense has been impressive, holding the 84th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.5 points per contest. Against Cal State Fullerton in their most recent game, the California-San Diego defense gave up a total of 58 points while allowing Cal State Fullerton to hit 42% of their shots.