Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction & Odds – November 14, 2026

Kansas State and TCU meet in Fort Worth with matching 4-5 records but different strengths. The Wildcats bring the more productive offense; the Horned Frogs have allowed fewer points and yards per game.

Game details and odds

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 pm EST · Amon G. Carter Stadium

Total: 44.5 — over -112, under -108.

Draft Kings odds checked November 13, 2026 20:02 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Kansas State’s rushing production meets a road test

Kansas State averages 196.8 rushing yards per game, with Rodney Fields Jr. leading the team at 574 yards and six touchdowns. That ground production gives the Wildcats a way to challenge a TCU defense allowing 114.7 rushing yards per game, though Kansas State is 0-3 in designated away games.

Kansas State’s recent results show how much its scoring can vary. The Wildcats beat Kansas 35-24, then scored 17 in a loss at Arizona State and 24 in a narrow loss at Colorado. Their latest outing was a 66-28 home defeat to Oklahoma State, a sharp reversal from the Kansas win. The Colorado game showed they can stay close away from home, but the Arizona State loss and the Oklahoma State result leave a pressing question about whether they can keep an opponent’s scoring within reach.

TCU’s defense has offered a steadier foundation

TCU allows 15.8 points and 304.7 yards per game, both lower figures than Kansas State’s, while averaging 271.0 passing yards per game. Jaden Craig leads the Horned Frogs with 2,439 passing yards, and Kari Ashley has 655 receiving yards. TCU’s 3-2 designated home record adds another consideration.

TCU has found ways to win without piling up points: it held Baylor to six in a 17-6 road victory and beat Kansas 22-16 at home. The Horned Frogs have also had little margin for error. They lost 24-20 at home to West Virginia and fell 29-28 at Arizona in their latest outing. A 17-10 home loss to BYU reinforces the pattern of close games in which TCU’s offense has not consistently created separation, even when its defense has kept the contest manageable.

Injury news

Kansas State Wildcats: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

TCU Horned Frogs: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

Availability checked November 13, 2026 20:02 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: TCU Horned Frogs.

TCU’s stronger defensive averages and Kansas State’s 0-3 designated away record tilt the pick toward the Horned Frogs. Kansas State’s rushing production remains a credible route to keeping this competitive.

Original winner pick recorded November 13, 2026 06:01 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.