Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/24

Planning on watching today’s Jayhawks and Bears game? Catch the action at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on ABC. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 145 points, with Baylor being favored by -5.5 at home against Kansas.

KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baylor Bears -5.5

This game will be played at Foster Pavilion at 1:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE BAYLOR BEARS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bears.
• Not only will Baylor pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Kansas?

So far this season, Kansas has been much better at home than on the road. The Jayhawks have gone 15-1 at home compared to just 6-6 on the road. On average, Kansas has outscored its opponents by 13.8 points per game at home, while the average margin on the road is just +2.2.

As an underdog this season, Kansas is 0-2, and they come into this game as underdogs once again, with Baylor being favored by 5.5 points. The Jayhawks have gone 21-5 when they are favored this season.

Against the spread, Kansas has a mark of 12-16 this season. On the road, they are 4-8 vs. the spread and have gone 1-1 as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Jayhawks have a 4-6 ATS record.

So far this season, the over/under record in Kansas games is 12-16, and today’s line of 145 is very close to the average OU line in their games (145.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 3-7.

In contrast to their season average of 76.6 points per game, the Kansas had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against BYU and had a field goal percentage of 39%. Hunter Dickinson led the scoring for the Jayhawks, contributing 17 points. Additionally, Dajuan Harris Jr. chipped in with 12 points.

Currently, the Jayhawks’ defense holds the 68th rank in the nation, allowing 67.9 points per game. Kansas’ three-point defense is currently 212nd in the country at 8.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.1% of their shots vs. Kansas.

Will the Bears Win at Home?

With a record of 14-1 at home this season, Baylor has been nearly unbeatable in Waco. They’ll look to continue their strong play at home when they take on Kansas as 5.5-point favorites. The Bears have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.

On the year, Baylor has been favored in 19 of their 28 games, going 17-2 in those contests. In their last game, the Bears defeated TCU by a score of 62-54.

As the favorite, Baylor’s ATS record this season is 12-6-1, including a mark of 6-3-1 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Bears’ ATS record is 10-4-1 this year and they are 5-4-1 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread. In their last 5 home games, Baylor has gone 1-3-1 ATS.

On the season, the over/under record for Baylor games is 13-13, and today’s line of 145 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (148.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 145.

In their most recent game, the Baylor offense concluded with only 62 points against TCU. Throughout the game, they made 9/22 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 37.7%. Yves Missi led the team in scoring, putting up 16 points. Additionally, Ja’Kobe Walter contributed 16 points for the Bears.

In terms of defense, Baylor is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.8 points per game. Baylor’s three-point defense is currently 92nd in the country at 6.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.4% of their shots vs. Baylor.