Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/11/25
At 10:30 ET, the Lakers (-457) will host the Rockets (+353) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line is 226 points.
Los Angeles (-9.5) is favored and sits 3rd in the West, while Houston (+9.5) is 2nd in the conference.
HOUSTON ROCKETS VS LOS ANGELES LAKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Rockets +9.5
This game will be played at Crypto.com Arena at 10:30 ET on Friday, April 11th.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON ROCKETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 134-133 in favor of the Rockets.
- Our projections have Jalen Green finishing with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Rockets finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.5% and knocking down 15 threes.
Does Houston Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
The Rockets fell to 52-28 on the season after a 134-117 loss to the Clippers on Wednesday. Houston entered the game as +10.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread, losing by 17 points. The total score of 251 points exceeded the O/U line of 220.5 by 30.5 points.
Houston trailed 36-35 after the 1st quarter, but a 12-0 run by the Clippers widened the gap from 54-48 to 66-48. The Rockets were outscored 35-23 in the 2nd quarter and went into the 4th quarter down 105-91, with the Clippers closing out the game by winning the final quarter 29-26.
Despite their loss to the Clippers, the Rockets shot 51.1% from the field and hit 20 threes at a 50% clip. Reed Sheppard led the way with 6 threes, finishing with 20 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists.
Jeff Green added 19 points, shooting 77.8% and hitting 4 threes. Tari Eason contributed 17 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter, while Aaron Holiday scored 10 of his 16 points in the same period.
The Rockets struggled defensively against the Clippers, allowing 134 points on Wednesday. Houston gave up 36 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 2nd, with Los Angeles shooting 53% from the field.
The Clippers hit 19 threes at a 51% clip. Houston sent them to the line 19 times, where they made all their free throws. The Rockets finished with 29 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 4 blocks.
Will the Lakers Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
The Lakers improved to 49-31 on the season with a 112-97 win over the Mavericks on Wednesday. Entering the game as -4.5 point favorites, Los Angeles not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game ended at 209, falling short of the 226.5 O/U line.
After trailing 30-26 in the 1st quarter, the Lakers took control by winning the next three quarters. They outscored the Mavericks 34-27 in the 2nd and 23-19 in the 3rd. Dallas went on a 12-0 run to start the 4th, but the Lakers responded by finishing the game on a 29-21 run.
Luka Dončić was the driving force in the Lakers’ win over the Mavericks, scoring 45 points and hitting 7 threes at a 70% clip. He also added 8 rebounds and 6 assists, shooting 57.1% from the field. LeBron James contributed 27 points, 7 rebounds, and shot 55% from the floor.
The Lakers hit 12 threes as a team, shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc and 46.7% overall. Dončić scored 17 points in the 2nd quarter, while LeBron added 13 points in the 4th to help secure the win.
The Lakers’ defense stepped up in the 3rd quarter, allowing just 19 points, and they held the Mavericks to 97 points overall. Los Angeles gave up 30 points in the 1st quarter and 27 in the 2nd but tightened up in the 4th, allowing only 21 points.
From beyond the arc, the Lakers limited Dallas to 9 made threes on 34% shooting. The Mavericks went 16/23 from the free-throw line. Defensively, the Lakers recorded 14 steals but didn’t have any blocked shots.