Houston Astros vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 6/30/24

At 1:40 PM ET, the Astros and Mets square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Astros are 2nd in the AL West with a record of 41-41, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East at 40-40. Luis Severino will be starting for the Mets, and the Astros are going with Shawn Dubin. WPIX will be televising this one, and the Mets are the heavy favorites, with their money line odds sitting at -158. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

Looking at Sunday’s other matchups, the forecasted temperature is 82 degrees in New York, where the Astros and Mets are facing off. The Astros are 41-41, while the Mets are at .500. This game is being played at Citi Field, and the Mets are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -158. The over/under line is currently 9 runs.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +133

This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, June 30th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS METS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Houston rallied for three runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th in the most recent game of this Astros vs Mets series. The Astros scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 8th, picking up a 9-6 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were at -101 on the money line.

Framber Valdez got the start for the Astros, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up six runs and striking out five. Seth Martinez got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader got the save. Reed Garrett took the loss for the Mets out of the bullpen.

At the plate, Jake Meyers and Mauricio Dubon each had two hits and two RBIs for the Astros. Yordan Alvarez also had a two-hit game and scored a run. For the Mets, Mark Vientos hit the game’s only home run and went 2/4 with three RBIs.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston is at an even .500 on the season, as they are 41-41 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets. The Astros are 4.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead, and they are 15-12 in AL West games this year. So far, they have won four straight series.

At home, the Astros have gone 24-19 this year and are just under .500 at 17-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 31-32 this year, and they are 10-9 as the underdog. Looking at their overall recent play, the Astros have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games.

When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 17-22, which is a losing proposition for bettors. Their average run differential in road games is -0.5. They have been a favorite in 63 games and an underdog in 19 games. As a favorite, they have a run line record of 28-35, while as an underdog, they have a run line record of 11-8.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.9 runs. Overall, the Astros have an over/under record of 30-48. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 9-7-2. So far this season, 61% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs.

Houston is sending right-hander Shawn Dubin to the mound today as he faces the Mets on the road. Dubin has made 14 appearances this season and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 5.64. His WHIP for the season is 1.66, and opponents are batting .302 off Dubin this year. Looking at his numbers, Dubin has a BB/9 figure of 4.43 compared to 10.07 strikeouts per nine innings. He most recently pitched on June 26th, where he gave up one earned run in one inning of work out of the bullpen. Dubin didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but he had given up a homer in three straight appearances before that.

For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. Houston has been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .264. Not only are the Astros the best hitting team in the league, but they also have the fewest strikeouts per game.

Yordan Alvarez has been one of the Astros’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .297 with a team-high 41 RBIs and 16 home runs. Kyle Tucker leads the team and is 7th in the league with 19 homers. Jose Altuve is also having a good season, hitting .301 with 13 homers. Over his last seven games, Altuve is 11/31 (.355) with two homers.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are currently at .500 with a record of 40-40 as they get set to host the Astros today. New York is 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they trail the Braves by 5.5 games for the second spot in the division. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional games.

At home, the Mets are 21-24 this year compared to an 19-16 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 21-20 this year and 19-20 when they are the underdog. New York has won six straight series, and they are 13-12-3 in series this year.

When the Mets win, they win by an average of 3.5 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. They have a run line record of 38-42 this season, and their average run margin is +0.2 runs per game. They are 17-28 against the run line at home and 21-14 on the road.

At home, the New York Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 9.5 runs per contest. Their over/under record is 42-36, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 2-2-2, and they have had nine games with higher lines this season, accounting for just 11.2% of their games. Their games have had lower lines in 81.2% of their contests, and they have hit the over in four straight games.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, in which he didn’t give up a run. Against the Cubs on June 23rd, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just three hits. Out of his 15 starts, Severino has seven quality starts and a record of 5-2. His ERA for the season is 3.29, along with a WHIP of 1.15. So far, he has allowed a total of eight home runs. Per nine innings, Severino is averaging 7.07 strikeouts and 3.09 walks.

Francisco Lindor has been one of the Mets’ top hitters all season, batting .252 with 13 home runs. He has also been hot of late, going 12/32 in his last seven games. During this stretch, he has one home run and six runs scored. Lindor also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso has a team-high 17 homers but is batting just .244 for the season.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in the MLB in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 7th best team batting average.