Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/6/24

Joe Ryan is starting for the Twins on Saturday, and he will be facing off against Hunter Brown and the Astros. The forecast for the game in Minneapolis calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 70s.

First pitch from Target Field is set for 2:10 PM ET, and the Twins are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -122. The Astros have won three straight and are 2nd in the AL West.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -122

This game will be played at Target Field at 2:10 ET on Saturday, July 6th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS TWINS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Astros to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Astros vs Twins series. Houston went into the matchup as +128 underdogs and squeaked out a 13-12 win. The Twins had a huge 9th inning, scoring seven of their twelve runs, but still fell short.

Shawn Dubin got the start for the Astros, going just 2 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out two. Bryan Abreu got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader got the save. Pablo Lopez had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss.

Jose Miranda hit the game’s only home run while going 4/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Alex Bregman did a bit of everything for the Astros, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Astros Records & Stats

The Astros are 46-42 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL West, two games behind the Mariners for the division lead. They have won three straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games, which is the best mark in the AL West. So far, they are 15-12 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Astros have gone 24-19 this season, and they are 22-23 on the road. As the favorite, Houston is 34-32 this year, and they are 12-10 when listed as the underdog. The Astros have won six straight series and are 16-11-1 overall in series this year.

When the Astros are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, as they are 23-22. They have covered the run line in seven straight road games, and they are 14-8 as the underdog. The Astros are 45-43 overall against the run line, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.1 runs per game. The Astros have a 34-50 O/U record this season, and their games have had an average O/U line of 9 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-7-2. Overall, 65.9% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.

Hunter Brown has been pitching well for the Astros, as he has won each of his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Blue Jays on July 1st and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. In his 16 starts, Brown has a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 4.07. Looking at his overall numbers, Brown has a WHIP of 1.33 and has issued 3.65 walks per nine innings compared to 9.8 strikeouts. Brown has made nine quality starts this season.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been a great 1-2 punch for the Astros lineup this season, as they are both in the top 10 in home runs and are batting .300 and .266, respectively. Alvarez has been especially hot of late, going 12/28 in his last eight games with three homers. Overall, he leads the team with 50 RBIs, while Tucker and Jose Altuve are right behind him with 40 RBIs.

As a team, the Astros are leading the league in batting average and have the fewest strikeouts per game in the league. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per contest. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per game.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 49-39 overall, which has them six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 17-12 in divisional games. The Twins dropped the first game of their series vs. the Astros and have an overall series record of 17-9-2, and they have won four straight series.

At home, the Twins are 25-18 this season and 24-21 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota is 40-22, and they are 9-17 as the underdog. Their overall record in the last 10 games is 6-4.

When the Twins win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.5 runs. Their overall run line record is 42-46, and they are 25-20 on the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are 29-33 on the run line, while as the underdog, they are 13-13.

The Minnesota Twins are playing at home against the Houston Astros today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Twins games this season is 9.4 runs per game. The Twins have a 44-42 over/under record this season, and their average over/under line is also 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Twins have a 7-11-2 over/under record. The over has hit in five straight Twins games.

Through 17 starts, Joe Ryan has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.21. He has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. Against the Mariners on June 30th, Ryan went 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with 10 strikeouts. Ryan has made 17 appearances this year and has a WHIP of .96. Looking back over his last three outings, Ryan has finished with a no-decision in each one. The right-hander has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four outings.

Carlos Correa has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Twins, as he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone 4/16 with two homers over his last four games. Jose Miranda has also been on fire, going 13/20 over his last five games. Miranda has one home run during this stretch and has driven in six runs.

For the season, the Twins have been one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They are also 6th in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the MLB. So far, they have been a good home and road team in terms of scoring runs.