Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 9/2/24

Justin Verlander and the Astros are the heavy favorite on Monday, as their money line odds are sitting at -165 compared to the Reds at +140. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature is 72 degrees with a clear sky in Cincinnati.

First pitch from Great American Park is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the Astros are currently on a five-game winning streak. They are 75-62 and in first place in the AL West. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central at 65-73 and will be sending Julian Aguiar to the mound.

CINCINNATI REDS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +140

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 4:10 ET on Monday, September 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Astros Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Astros closed out the series with a 7-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -158. Offensively, the Astros scored their seven runs on just nine hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only issued three hits and issued just one walk. Blanco also only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Houston is on the road today vs. the Reds, and they come in having won five straight games. The Astros are 75-62 overall, good for a six-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. So far, they are 21-18 in divisional games.

The Astros have been really good at home this year, going 39-29. On the road, they are 36-33 and have gone 5-0 as the favorite in their last five road games. This year, the Astros are 57-43 as the favorite and 18-19 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 24-18-2.

When the Astros are on the road, they have covered the run line in 39 of 69 games. Their average run differential is +0.6, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. As the underdog, they have covered the run line in 25 of 37 games.

In the 132 games the Astros have played this season, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs just six times. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 54-78.

Justin Verlander gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.16. Verlander’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. Looking back at his last outing, Verlander took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. He has given up at least two earned runs in each of his last four outings. Per nine innings, Verlander is averaging 8.06 strikeouts and just 2.55 walks. Opponents are batting .240 off the right-hander this season.

Yordan Alvarez has been on a tear of late for the Astros, going 11/23 in his last six games with five homers. Alvarez’s 30 homers this season are 7th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 73. Catcher Yainer Diaz has also been swinging the bat well, as he is batting .298 for the season and has gone deep 16 times.

As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and 7th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the majors. Houston’s offense has been good at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Reds Records & Stats

The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the Brewers in the top of the first, the Reds responded with two runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.

Brandon Williamson got the start for the Reds, going 3 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up just two runs on four hits and issued only one walk. Jake Fraley came on in the 3rd inning and homered, going 1/3.

Cincinnati will host the Astros with an overall record of 65-73, placing them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they are 15.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds head into today’s game with an overall record of 20-23 vs. the rest of the division.

At home, the Reds are 33-39 this season, and they are just above .500 at 32-34 on the road. So far, they have been a .500 team both as the favorite and as the underdog, where they are 33-33 and 32-40, respectively. Cincinnati’s series record is 16-25-3, and they have dropped three straight series.

The Reds are a team that has been a good bet on the run line this season, as they are 73-65 overall and 41-25 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 46-26, while they are just 27-39 as the favorite. Their average run margin is just 0.1 runs per game, but they have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 41-25. They have covered the run line in their last two games at home and in five straight as the underdog.

The Cincinnati Reds are playing host to the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.8, and their over/under record is 65-66. The average over/under line for Reds games is 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 21 of 32 games. Overall, only 5.8% of Reds games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.

Julian Aguiar will be making his third start of the season for the Reds, and he will be facing the Astros at home. In his first start of the season, he picked up a win against the Pirates, going 6 innings and giving up 2 earned runs. He then went 4 innings in his last outing, allowing 6 runs on 10 hits vs. the Athletics.

Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Reds this season, as he is batting .263 and is 15th in the league with 22 home runs. His 61 RBIs is also the 2nd best mark on the team. Spencer Steer has also been a good power threat for the Reds, as he has 19 homers and is batting .236. However, the Reds are hoping he can get his batting average up, as he is just 3/14 in his last six games.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 9th in the league in home runs. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Currently, Nick Martini is on a three-game hitting streak, and Tyler Stephenson has gone 8/22 in his last six games.