Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24

FOX will broadcast the week 11 NFC North matchup between the Bears and Packers from Soldier Field in Chicago. The Bears are the underdog with a point spread of +6.5, and the money line odds have the Packers as -269 favorites. The game is set to kick off at 1:00 ET, and the over/under line is at 41.5 points.

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS CHICAGO BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Bears +6.5

This game will be played at Soldier Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th.

WHY BET THE CHICAGO BEARS:

• We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 27 to 20
• Not only do we have the Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points

Will The Packers Win As Road Favorites?

Heading into week 11, the Packers are 6-3, giving them a 77.5% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 5th in our NFL power rankings, but their 0-2 division record has them 3rd in the NFC North. Green Bay is 3-2 at home and 3-1 on the road, and they’ll be on the road this week against the Bears.

Against the spread, the Packers are 4-5 and have failed to cover in three straight games. In week 9, they lost 24-14 to the Lions, and they couldn’t cover the +2.5 spread. Their O/U record is 4-4-1, with their games averaging 47.1 points per game.

Heading into week 11, the Packers rank 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25.6, and are 3rd in yards per game with 390. Despite ranking 17th in passing attempts, they are 7th in passing yards per game, with 235.2. On the ground, Green Bay ranks 5th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game, averaging 154.8.

In week 9, Jordan Love threw for 273 yards, completing 23 of 39 passes, but did not have a touchdown and threw an interception. Josh Jacobs led the rushing attack with 95 yards on 13 carries, while Jayden Reed had 5 receptions for 113 yards. The Packers struggled on 3rd down, converting just 3 of 12 attempts, and went 1 for 4 in the red zone.

In their 24-14 loss to the Lions, the Packers’ defense allowed 137 passing yards on 18 completions. The Packers gave up one passing touchdown and allowed the Lions to complete 81.8% of their passes. Despite this, the Packers did well on third downs, allowing the Lions to convert just 33.3% of their third down attempts.

On the ground, the Lions rushed for 124 yards on 32 attempts, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt. The Packers’ defense managed one sack and had two more quarterback hits and tackles for loss than the Lions.

Are The Bears Going Win In At Upset At Soldier Field

After three straight losses, the Bears are now 4-5, including a 19-3 home loss to the Patriots in week 10. Chicago was favored by 6 points but couldn’t get the win, and they now sit 4th in the NFC North. They are 4-1 at home this season but have yet to win on the road (0-4).

Our projections give the Bears a 4.3% chance of making the playoffs and just a 0.1% chance of winning their division. They rank 23rd in our NFL power rankings heading into week 11. Chicago is 5-4 against the spread, but they have failed to cover in three straight games. Their O/U record is 3-6, with the under hitting in three consecutive games.

Heading into week 11, the Bears rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (19.4) and 30th in passing yards per game (169.6), despite ranking 13th in passing attempts. On the ground, Chicago is 15th in rushing attempts and 24th in rushing yards per game (108.1). They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 28.7% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the league. However, the Bears have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 3rd in the NFL with a 61.9% conversion rate.

Caleb Williams has been sacked 18 times over the last three games, including 9 sacks in week 10 against the Patriots. He finished that game with 120 yards on 16/30 passing. Chicago’s offense failed to score in the 1st, 3rd, and 4th quarters in week 10, with Keenan Allen leading the team with 44 receiving yards on 5 catches. D’Andre Swift had 59 rushing yards on 16 carries.

In their 19-3 loss to the Patriots, the Bears’ defense gave up 184 passing yards and one touchdown through the air. They did manage to intercept one pass and held New England to 35.7% on third down conversions. However, the Bears struggled to stop the run, allowing 144 rushing yards on 35 attempts, resulting in a 4.1 yards per attempt average.

Chicago’s defense also struggled to generate pressure, as they finished with only one sack and lost the tackles for loss battle by a significant margin. The Patriots finished with 13 more tackles for loss than the Bears.